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Posts by "smjones"

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smjones
(United States)
   
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smjones
United States
Posts: 2
15 years ago
Sep 22, 2009 11:54
In Thread: Unusual FX Action?
Said,

As I see it, The funding currency will always gravitate to the lowest interest rate. Right now, that is the Yen at .10 and then the USD and the CAD at .25. The problem with the dollar is that the very moment that the Fed even whispers a Hawkish word, the dollar looses that appeal. Until that time, the Dollar is a cheap funding currency. Personally, I don't see how there could be any hawkish talk in the near future. Now that the new government of Japan says they are not going to intervene so much through the BOJ, I think the Yen is going to continue to drift upward, until that stance is recanted. I think they will of course change their minds, because Japan is primarily an export country and a strong yen is devastating to their exports.

On a side note, I wonder what will happen with the KIWI, It seems to me, they are in a similar boat as the US, with the large deficit spending, only they already have a climbing interest rate.
smjones
United States
Posts: 2
15 years ago
Sep 22, 2009 10:06
In Thread: Unusual FX Action?
I can recommend Forex Factory for quick response calendar. However, I may be a bit bias. LOL

You can also get very good real time feeds like Dow Jones and Thompson from some of the brokers out there, with only a free demo account. I don't know if it would break any forum rules to list them , so I won't until told it is ok.

I have found that it would be a bit dangerous to trade directly from any news announcement, though. I have always had better success in waiting for the smoke to clear a bit and then trading the reaction afterward.

It has also been my experience that news really does not change a trend and unless the trade is very short term, the news has little impact on less volatile time frames.

BTW the statements by the new government in Japan have certainly added to the yen strength and the overall unusual FX behavior. This was an excellent article.

A friend just recommended this site to me and as I have followed Mr. Laidi's analysis for years and also from another broker, where I started years ago, I am very glad to have subscribed to this site.

Thanks and Kind Regards, Scott
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