Forum > View Topic (Analytic)
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Aug 21, 2008 1:27
Comments: 55
View Analytic
This thread was started in response to the Analytic:

US EU Bond Yield Spreads

Rather than simply comparing currencies' overnight interest rates, FX traders pay close attention to differentials in 10-year yields for the market's assessment of longer term interest/inflation rate horizons. The relationship is straight forward.
 
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anauel63
london, UK
Posts: 34
15 years ago
Sep 4, 2009 3:56
Ashraf where can I view this chart updated?(source)
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 22:22
ashraf, yes sorry
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:55
spec, you mean to say GBPUSD not USD/GBP when referring to GBP.

Ashraf
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:41
sorry i think my key is broken dollar/pound
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:40
$/
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:40
sorry should read $/
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:39
$/ trend is quite simply DOWN due to polical uncertainties. dollar will start to rally against european currencies as investment banks have THIS WEEK been heavily issuing dollar speculative research notes and believe me this will support the recently dollar rally for 1 week at least. as you can see the Dollar/Euro has also been bid down. the mafia investment banks have strong influencial powers over currency markets.
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 21:07
Hey, Forextrader
Maybe you are right. USD will keep rally in next 3 to 6 month. I am thinking about how much it will continue to rally now. But buy USD and sell commodity currency is high risk.

I am thinking about if USD will keep rally into next 3 to 6 month or not. Maybe I will long USD and short GBP. But the signal for USD start rally from now is not clear yet.

Check the commodity price, if the economy is getting better, commodity will rise first.
And it is the USD weakness point.

Have a good weakend!!!
forextrader
vologda, Russia
Posts: 127
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 20:55
hey Qin.
I fully understand your point and I agree with you that in the long term the US dollar will decline against all commodity base currencies.
but I cant see this happing any time soon maybe some time in 2010 but for the next 2-4 months I see US dollar appreciate by 10% against all major currencies excluding Japanese Yen.

Any thought Ashraf
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Jun 5, 2009 20:28
Hey, Forextrader
I believe that USD rally is temporary consolidation. it will stop soon, maybe next week. I don't have strategy anymore now. When this USD rally over, USD/CAD will go target 1.05.

I am not really professional on FOREX. But this kind of rally is more like consolidation or profits taking. In my mind, the big picture did not change yet.

I put my capital in CAD when USD/CAD was 1.29. I think it is a very good decision.

What do you think? Ashraf
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