Forum > View Topic (Analytic)
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Nov 24, 2008 3:56
Comments: 677
View Analytic
This thread was started in response to the Analytic:

EUR Trade Index 18-Year Chart

Daily EURO chart of 18 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics
 
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 8:51
Xaron,

BTW, if eur.gbp was left unmanipulated by the eur Money Makers, and resided at .896 where it was just after Starks announcement yesterday, basd on the current gbp price of 1.592, eur would be at 1.4264.

The eur PPT would be better off to just let the darn thing fall so real buyers would come in and provide real support. Instead, they insist on propping eur buy using their Boy Toy eur.gbp. It is blatant now, and I proved it yesterday on the news release regarding the "Sovereign Names".
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 8:31
Xaron,

Wow, we are very close to the same thinking. However, the eur chart is atrocious-that's why I am bearish. I agree, 1.42 may be a buy. But not 1.44.

I 100% agree regarding your comments on NY and Cali. Cali is the 5th largest economy in the world, or something like that, yet all anyone harps on is Greece and Spain. The reason? U.S. Feds would pring a gazillion more greenbacks to support Cali and NY.

You have to admit though it is suspicious when German Retail Sales fall short of expectation, yet it is gbp which gets, well, pounded through the Boy Toy eur.gbp, and eur rises 45 pips?

I am also long usd.jpy, and made a huge hit on the new Finance Minister's statement earlier regarding jpy. It was my largest position.

I short gold on the pops. However, it looks like the momo is gone from Gold after $50 up in three trading days. aud and nzd look toppy, which is very ominous for eur and gbp. The eur Plunge Protection Team better stay on alert and continuosly bid up boy toy eur.gbp to try and keep eur afloat in here.
Xaron
Munich, Germany
Posts: 528
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 8:16
1.42 would not be a problem. Cheaper levels to buy. ;) Technically you're right. I just often wonder why everyone looks at Greece and Spain (plus Italy and Ireland) and no one looks at California, NY and so on. But hey, maybe I'm the last one who just sees the awful debts stuff going on.

Look, I know that the EU is in deep sh!t as well but as long as even the US don't want a strong dollar I'd never fight against their printing press.

The US has to refinance $2 trillion of debts within 12 months. Who will buy this debts? China? Japan? They already diversify out of the Dollar and use those levels to sell more. ;) So the FED will buy its own debts again and print more money. The treasury bubble will pop.

Nevertheless that's only my point of view and I could be wrong of course. At the moment I'm long EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/JPY and short Gold and Oil plus DAX. A rather funny mix, mhh?
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 8:10
LOL all the wsay to the bank. 1.50? Stupid Greek stuff? Fundamentals don't matter I guess. You forgot to mention that pesky stupid Spain stuff also.

BTW, your PPT is outdoing itself in blatant support of the eur/usd. They now have eur/gbp to .9017-destroying gbp along the way, but keeping caught eur longs afloat for now.

See ya at 1.42 - you and your blatant Big Boy Money Making manipulators and their boy toy eur.gbp
Xaron
Munich, Germany
Posts: 528
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 8:01
Dude, the only reason why the Euro is not at 1.50 is this stupid Greece stuff and profit taking in December. I expect to see 1.50 soon again. The ECB will hike much sooner than expected. Most analyst seem to expect a hike in H2 of 2010 together with the FED. I think the ECB will hike before and might start in march 2010.
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 7:51
eur PPT was called in one hour ago. They have so far successfully thrown a life-line to their beloved eur.usd to the tune of 30 pip pop from 1.4354 to 1.4385. 7:48 GMT.
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 2:51
can someone please call the eur PPT. Eur had the audacity to dip below 1.4400.
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 1:17
Said,

Hope you took advantage of eur riding the spike of the asd news and shorted it properly. Gold looks long in the tooth, as does asd. Once they pull back, the money makers better get to work on the boy toy eur.gbp ti support eur - long way down from 1.442 to below 1.4.

despite it all, usd.jpy starting its grind higher.

Good trading...
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 1:07
@said: Turkish gold reserves to Australia for refining?

That's interesting & completely unknown to me. This led me to do some googling, and I see:

"...that while Turkey has been the top gold-producing nation in Europe since 2006, its gold production could in fact rise to 38 tons in 2010, making it a global leader in gold production."

Goodness. Could help its case for EU entry, I would have thought!
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 7, 2010 0:57
hi ashraf,i see on twitter you said crude moving too much too fast,,on the fundamental side,do you think a correction could come , if so what what will it take to remove the tech momentum..i think you said your looking for a weekly close above 80.80..is that correct..thank so much