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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Nov 24, 2008 3:56
Comments: 677
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This thread was started in response to the Analytic:

EUR Trade Index 18-Year Chart

Daily EURO chart of 18 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics
 
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Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Oct 2, 2009 0:54
Yes, rising YEN is a good bet ahead.

Bloomberg on GS:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aLDj5Fgz5uYw

Ashraf
radu
bucharest, Romania
Posts: 203
15 years ago
Oct 2, 2009 0:51

jpy goes UUPP !!!
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Oct 2, 2009 0:38
DaveKerr, actually the latest from GS is that they downgraded their fcst in favour of -250K jobs, which means many things. if we do get UNANIMOUSLY worse than expected number ie rising unemp rate and large payrolls drop then knee jerk reaction could be USD negtv and stocks Negtv Only to start seeing YEN STRENGTH followed by USD strength later in the day.

Ashraf
Letisha
St. Catherine, Jamaica
Posts: 156
15 years ago
Oct 2, 2009 0:06
Thx Ashraf...really appreciate the real time feedback...
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 23:49
Letisha, to get IMTs just go to top right of website and press subscribe for IMT by enering your email and getting a password. That's all free. Then in order to pay for the webinar, you can use that same email/password to access the payment page.

Ashraf
Letisha
St. Catherine, Jamaica
Posts: 156
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 23:35
So wld I fall in the category of subscriber/just a member of the website....if not, how do I subscribe to the IMT and direct trade ideas?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 23:24
Letisha, IMT are sent by email to subscribers and they give a direct/brief overview of preview on several topics as well as straight forward trading ideas. The webinars are paid as much analysis has been provided on this site for free.

Ashraf
DaveKerrtheThird
United States
Posts: 2
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 23:16
Do you have any more thoughts on a NFP # tmrw? Market consensus is about -175K. Yesterday you mentioned a rumor of Goldman speaking to clients regarding a surpise improvement, or at least a "not as bad" number... So with an ADP overstimate as you mentioned (254K-130K, thus making NFP approximately -124K), and this rumor potentially being accurate, would you say the risk of surpise is more to the upside, or in favor of risk trades (negative for USD)? Or, as has happened in the past, would it be potentially positive for risk/equities as well as the USD being that it may show the US recovering more quickly? Or, would you say the normal correlations will remain - negative for risk/equities, positive for USD? Thanks for your thoughts, your insight has been incredible since I began following you only 3 weeks ago.
Letisha
St. Catherine, Jamaica
Posts: 156
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 23:03
Thx Ashraf...I read the IMT, but doesn't get much from it really. Before USDCAD reached the .0790 level...I was thinking to go long @ .0800 and target 1.0900, but instead I said I wld try and get in at a better price @ 1.0750...but I guess I missed a good trading opportunity as the pair is trading above the 1.0820 level that you said it should reach for it to see 1.0900....I really appreciate the advise. Thanks a lot. You are really doing a fantastic job.

P.S.Do you provide free webinars or you usually have to pay to attend...let me know ASAP.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Oct 1, 2009 18:36
raj, ADP usually OVERESTIMATES nonfarmpayrolls by about 130K, this means the decline tmrrow could be abpout 130K.

Letisha, As I said on twitter and on the IMTs (see IMT on home page) USDCAD eyed 1.0790 target $$CADJPY 82.90. USDCAD must break 1.0820 to show us 1.09.


Ashraf
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