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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Mar 13, 2009 15:13
Comments: 41
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

Here Comes the 2-Month Cycle

Stocks could be in for a fresh 2-month rally, in line with the pattern of the past 12 months.
 
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
May 28, 2009 20:49
Simon, never discount or ignore new ideas. I heard about those astro-signals. Gann analysis use something similar to determine TIMING. I will check it out and remember to stay cautious on NFP day. Thanks

Ashraf
simon
gauteng, South Africa
Posts: 23
15 years ago
May 28, 2009 18:15
actually i don't care, (jeese i am unprofessional).
simon
gauteng, South Africa
Posts: 23
15 years ago
May 28, 2009 18:14
yeah.... and please never mention the moon on tv please. I would like that not to be common knowledge.


Thanks


Simon
simon
gauteng, South Africa
Posts: 23
15 years ago
May 28, 2009 18:10
Just a thought

You ever thing about full moon dates?


John Percival wrote something on that.

I my experience there is something there

7th May 2009 - full moon = most recent S&P top. (map them on the charts you will see)
http://www.die.net/moon/

Next Sunday 7th June (ECB / NFP)


Simon
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 21:59
Sean , the 2 month cycle remains applicable for US and european indices as we have NOT yet seen the highs of May 8th. Asian is a different story, (including Nikkei) which is consistent with the THEME that Asian will recover before Americas and Europe/UK.

Ashraf
Sean
singapore, Singapore
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 16:01
Hi Ashraf

It's me again. Just wondering what is your take on the 2-month cycle. Frankly, the market is really discounting all bad news and still rising when news are "not as bad" ...especialli in AP and Singapore market, it seems that many institional funds are coming in, pushing stock prices higher. Even many penny stock prices have increased 30-50%

best rgds
Sean
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
May 1, 2009 9:35
Ashley, you may be rigtht, this time it could take more than 8 weeks. maybe 10 or 12. As for the magnitude, i thik this so-called breather has happenned too far to fast. 30% rally in 7 weeks with hardly any reversal is a little to rapid for a US and world economy clearly in recession.

Ashraf
Ashley
United States
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
May 1, 2009 4:04
I was checking you 2 month cycle charts. The graph is interesting. But what makes you think, that the previous pattern will repeat itself. The markets seem to complete a textbook 5 wave cycle down in March. Dont you think the markets would take a breather after a 50% move down.

cheers,

Ashley
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Apr 30, 2009 23:25
jjstone

some wise words there about markets and solvency. maybe i should raise that as the question of the next poll (will S&P hit 200-day MA) I have an interesting trend line on the S&P500 to show tomorrow.

glad people are using the forum. any suggestions are welcome !

Ashraf
jjstone
Toronto, Canada
Posts: 45
15 years ago
Apr 30, 2009 23:18
Please note 912 on the S&P is the 200ema and the 38.20% from the September peak.