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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Aug 22, 2009 3:37
Comments: 852
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal

BRICS equity indices fail at key fib retracements, VIX and oil near major trend lines and sterling's sell-appeal hasn't looked this good in a while.
 
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 15:46
Interesting comment from CIBC

"Jeff Rubin at CIBC World Markets in Canada predicts $200/bbl coming very soon. He correctly predicted the price of oil reaching $50 in 2005 and $100 in 2007. The year 1966 was the peak for discovery of new oil fields. Production declines by 4 million bbl/day/year because of depletion. The industry must discover reserves over the next 5 years that will add 20 million bbl/day of capacity. A new oil sand project in Canada can carry a price tag of $90/bbl. Demand/depletion will push up price."
emad_must
gaza, Palestine
Posts: 20
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 12:19
hello Azza
i think the market will be quit today becouse the the labor day

with my best wishes

Emad
Azza
London, UK
Posts: 6
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 10:48
Morning guys, :)

Ashraf
Because it being labor day in America, do you think the market will be quite slow ?
:) ~
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 9:00
anauel63,
I did pay extra. However... Norwegian post, same as ordering something from a jungle...
:)
anauel63
london, UK
Posts: 34
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 6:58
you should have paid an extra fee for international shipping ,I get it in 48 hours.
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 18:34
Ashraf, sorry about that, note taken.

Statoil stocks, very strong and safe.
Election in Norway 14. Sept may have a strong impact on the NOK and the economy.
The Norwegian bank is expected to increase the interest rate in December.

regards
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 18:05
Handler, please dont call me king and most of all stay away from foul language. I agree with you about NOK. In fact I own a bit of STATOIL stock and could load up some more if (when) we drop further.

Ashraf
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 16:33
Guys, sorry for the last harsh comments. My mistake.

Gunjack,
long-term NOK will get stronger, but I am waiting for the correction in stock market and oil before this happens. Also there is an election in Norway next week, it might have a big effect on the NOK.
CAD moves more with oil than NOK. Risk aversion have bigger effect on NOK.
raulin
london, UK
Posts: 65
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 15:38
It would be good if the forum could be a little bit more technical and less fundamental that way I think there would be more objectivity and less personal abuse which serves no purpose. Regarding the GBP for example the fundamentals have always been very poor, when it was 1.38 to the dollar and when it was 1.70 to the dollar so there are other technical/speculative reasons for its return to higher level and it would be more interesting to talk about those, if you are interested in trading. The oil thing is confusing, probably due to long gold play which may just be technical breakout or may be China diversifying out of treasuries , but this is such an old story. On a technical level oil is above 78.6 fib of its its hi/lo swing and needs to break that to become bearish again I would look for it to break 65.5 for bearishness to continue and on upside watch 70 and if it breaks 71.40 more than likely it gets to 75 again.
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 15:22
V amusing comments being posted here over the last few days!!

FX Handler what are your views on USDNOK....Im playing a convergence trade b/ween NOK and CAD against the USD. NOK is v volatile though...moves +/- 400 pips on a daily basis now...My view is med term NOK will get stronger due to Norwegian econ being in better shape than competitors