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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
Dont forget IFO tomorrow.
http://www.ashraflaidi.com/economic-calendar/
Ashraf
Hope 1.31xx also achieved (but I know trading is not about hope, etc).
It's looking achievable anyway.
Guesstimate of 1.3150 max.
We already knew QE is inevitable and I have been ranting about it all along, so you know stocks knee jerk reactions are over now. Most brokers will be lifting up their skirts now to find themselves buyers at any level seen in the next couple of days. Interesting will be tomorrows Asian stocks reaction, how they react to the new trends.
Dollar will be favored to be dumped across the board in the next coming days, as soon as offshore account start their short termed liquidity injections to curve trades in their favor. Inside trading will pick up and there will be no way to stop the liquidity ahead.
Markets will remain fairly predictable as long as you can discipline to work along with the wider macro. Look for sentiment to change and policy makers to come out to make more useless statements.
BY THE WAY:
GMT is 1 hr behind BST (British Standard Time) between April and October after which they become EQUAL http://bit.ly/TwxTk
Ashraf
Being bear too early means you'll be broke soon, be bull and you'll be slaughtered !
This is only volatility and false trends. There is no believers out there. All we know for sure is :
they are gonna print money. The actual question is : when ? When those billions injected into the banking system will diffuse into the real economy ? When all this QE will become inflation ?
My gut feeling is that we should see a rise of the euro for 2-3 months and then a sharp drop, say in december, when nobody expect that.
consumer credit crunch.