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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 23, 2010 0:05
its worth nibbling at 12890s for 12930 & 12970

Dont forget IFO tomorrow.
http://www.ashraflaidi.com/economic-calendar/

Ashraf
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 23:20
@Ashraf: spot on with 1.2930 today (high of 1.2932 on my chart); kudos.
Hope 1.31xx also achieved (but I know trading is not about hope, etc).
It's looking achievable anyway.

Guesstimate of 1.3150 max.
Stationdealer
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 18:12
In a economy thats headed for a doom even thought after just initially. It is very easy pick faults in any direction you think off. But for traders its very important to realize the difference between economy and markets price levels. Most people here I see keep confusing the two. The job is to keep it simple for max output.
We already knew QE is inevitable and I have been ranting about it all along, so you know stocks knee jerk reactions are over now. Most brokers will be lifting up their skirts now to find themselves buyers at any level seen in the next couple of days. Interesting will be tomorrows Asian stocks reaction, how they react to the new trends.
Dollar will be favored to be dumped across the board in the next coming days, as soon as offshore account start their short termed liquidity injections to curve trades in their favor. Inside trading will pick up and there will be no way to stop the liquidity ahead.
Markets will remain fairly predictable as long as you can discipline to work along with the wider macro. Look for sentiment to change and policy makers to come out to make more useless statements.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 18:11
StressTests was due out after London close 1630 GMT but thers talk it may b around 7:00 am GMT ( 8 am BST 3 am EDT)

BY THE WAY:

GMT is 1 hr behind BST (British Standard Time) between April and October after which they become EQUAL http://bit.ly/TwxTk


Ashraf
Qiman
United States
Posts: 237
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 15:18
Indeed, if you are "right" too early, you can enure a lot of pain. This is a manic depressive period in the market, so each day can bring major mood swings and surprises, time to be nimble.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 14:58
Even if you are right this market can make you wrong for an extended period of time.

Being bear too early means you'll be broke soon, be bull and you'll be slaughtered !

This is only volatility and false trends. There is no believers out there. All we know for sure is :
they are gonna print money. The actual question is : when ? When those billions injected into the banking system will diffuse into the real economy ? When all this QE will become inflation ?

My gut feeling is that we should see a rise of the euro for 2-3 months and then a sharp drop, say in december, when nobody expect that.

Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 14:46
Expect the market to drop when you expect it the least - the same goes for eurusd
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 14:37
an overly optimistic picture ... the key problems are looming house price crash and rising unemployment of young people aged less than 25 ... tourism is also dropping that has provided some compensation for lacking industrial jobs but now it doesn't. On top of that
consumer credit crunch.
Dodger
London, UK
Posts: 139
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 13:58
Hi,been in spain for last 10 days,was quite surprised to find it still there and much as it was a year ago,there is still a recession,money is tighter than a few years back but not the disaster I had expected to find.I have been in and out of spain since the 70s and seen it much,much,worse,it will never be germany,it is a peripheral part of the euro ecconmomy and probably will remain as such.However people are used to hard times here and are coping pretty well,much better I would expect than in certain areas of the US?
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 11:39
And also did you hear Fink of Blackrock come out and say the outlook on US growth is unlikely