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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
It is further so that Greece private households are far less indebted than Germany's or UK's.
I would not rule out Germany and perhaps France leaving Euro if it turns out the total bailout is too
large.
At least the EU DOES something against their debts. What are the US doing? Nothing. This wheel will go on and markets will focus on US and UK again after the dust has settled...
I mean beside this huh and hoh about Greece and the other countries the underlying fundamentals are not that bad and I still stick to it that the ECB will start to hike this year in Q3 or Q4, long before the FED which will (in my opinion) not hike this year and maybe even not in 2011.
returning sovereignity of currency to Bundesbank. The cost may eventually not be higher than the bailout of PIGS however the follow on cost in terms of tanking exports to Europe may be tremendous.
Such a move would mean an end of Eur within a few hours.
Ashraf