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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 13:46
methinks below 3180 is bearish that corresponds USDx breaking 79.4 and 10y break 130.9
just wait...EURUSD will not rise above 3290
Sir Ignore
United States
Posts: 3068
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 13:39
good morning professors...

4 hr close under 1.3204 needed mho for southbound...
otherwise still long from 3143..
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 13:30
of course Gr default is inevitable....matter is whether an orderly default or a panic crash default.
The latter is to be avoided. CDS will be triggered in either case. Orderly default might possibly not swap over to Portugal Spain. No guarantee, though.
djellal
LAUSANNE, Switzerland
Posts: 531
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 13:18
Senior bankers on Wall Street have been given detailed documentation setting out a timetable to Greek default, including firm dates and technical orders about last use of the euro as a currency there. The revelation arrived at Sloggers Roost last Monday, since when I have been trying to obtain corroboration. This arrived in the early hours of today (Thursday). One of the banks is Barclays Capital (Barcap) run by controversial figure Bob Diamond. The other must remain anonymous for the time being, in order to protect sources.

The document asserts that Greece will officially be declared in default by all the ratings agencies after the close of business on Friday march 23rd . At the weekend all Greek bank accounts will be frozen, with emergency measures detailed to prevent the flight of capital. Included in the paperwork is a list of very limited exceptions to the no withdrawals order. All major banks are instructed not to deal with euro exchange as of open of business in Greece on Monday 26th march. All Greek markets will close for one day at least.

djellal
LAUSANNE, Switzerland
Posts: 531
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 13:17
It is a default but they don't want to tell us ! How to stole money again ?

How Greece Could Take Down Wall Street
by Ellen Brown

In an article titled Still No End to Too Big to Fail, William Greider wrote in The Nation on February 15th:

Financial market cynics have assumed all along that Dodd-Frank did not end "too big to fail" but instead created a charmed circle of protected banks labeled "systemically important" that will not be allowed to fail, no matter how badly they behave.

That may be, but there is one bit of bad behavior that Uncle Sam himself does not have the funds to underwrite: the $32 trillion market in credit default swaps (CDS). Thirty-two trillion dollars is more than twice the U.S. GDP and more than twice the national debt.

CDS are a form of derivative taken out by investors as insurance against default. According to the Comptroller of the Currency, nearly 95% of the banking industrys total exposure to derivatives contracts is held by the nations five largest banks: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, HSBC, and Goldman Sachs. The CDS market is unregulated, and there is no requirement that the insurer actually have the funds to pay up. CDS are more like bets, and a massive loss at the casino could bring the house down.

It could, at least, unless the casino is rigged. Whether a credit event is a default triggering a payout is determined by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA), and it seems that the ISDA is owned by the worlds largest banks and hedge funds. That means the house determines whether the house has to pay.

The Houses of Morgan, Goldman and the other Big Five are justifiably worried right now, because an event of default declared on European sovereign debt could jeopardize their $32 trillion derivatives scheme. According to Rudy Avizius in an article on The Market Oracle (UK) on February 15th, that explains what happened at MF Global, and why the 50% Greek bond write-down was not declared an event of default.

If you paid only 50% of your mortgage every month, these same banks would quickly declare you in default. But the rules are quite different when the banks are the insurers underwriting the deal.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 12:37
Dominique Strauss-Kahn is being questioned by French police in Lille investigating a prostitution ring, a spokeswoman for the prosecutors said today.

Strauss-Kahn turned himself in for questioning at 8:55 a.m. local time, a spokeswoman for the Lille prosecution said, declining to be named according to office policy. He faces possible charges of aiding in procuring prostitutes and benefiting from embezzlement, she said.

merkel: Non je ne regrette rien! Aujourdhui, a commence avec toi!
Je t'aime
DSK : moi non plus
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 10:50
DSK suspect of pimp ! Merkel: I never took any money. Desire wanting compassion .... steamy windows ...
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 10:41
not hit entry 3243 50 pips stop= 3293 Oanda max 32916
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 10:31
thx Cat.. 1.3222 hit for 50 pips..:-)
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Feb 21, 2012 3:37
but will wait few minutes for 4h to close to confirm this scalp..