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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Oct 29, 2010 18:32
@forum..is any1 out there still shorten the gbpusd?ive taken up a position(small)but not quite sure about it ..its broken through 1.5940..now 1.6020...an im a lil loss on how ashraf thinks of it..lol..i think he still likes it cause he hasn;t stated differently..any help is appreciated :( lol..pz an have a great weekend guys:)
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
13 years ago
Oct 28, 2010 9:08
daveo
3months 1 hour
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Oct 27, 2010 22:59
Said, my question to Ashraf referred to his weekly timeframe comments. What timeframe is your 50MA at 1.5529 for gbpchf ?
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
13 years ago
Oct 27, 2010 19:12
daveo
th e50 MA 1.5529 will paly support for GBPCHF
any clear break below will signal more downside.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Oct 27, 2010 18:25
Ashraf, In your IMT of the 22nd and repeated today re GBPCHF play. You say:-

"but 1.6 remains a key resistance as it presents the confluence between the 55-WEEK MA and the trendline from the June high "

On my weekly chart the confluence comes in at 1.6340 as of today ??? How can we be so far apart ? or are you projecting into a few weeks ahead ?
redstone
bristol, UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Oct 27, 2010 7:43
cable future depends a lot on amount of qe2 by fed(next week) and our own. Which personally I dont think will happen until Feb next year. So once market uncertainity over(maybe early Dec) cable could climb back to 163 year end.
Kam
london, UK
Posts: 31
13 years ago
Oct 26, 2010 19:40
Hi Ashraf...I have finally joined your forum after following the forum and twitter for a few weeks and reading your book which i must say was as enthrolling as it was thought provoking.

In way of my first forex post on this forum, I would like to ask you of you opinion on GBPUSD. Do you still eye 1.53 in near term or has todays gdp put some doubt on it on actually reaching 1.53 or on timing of it happening? Personally i think the Q3 GDP has little relevance as all the action (referring to spending review) has occured since q3 and future at the moment looks bleak for or atleast very uncertain (which usually means bearish for ). So there is big disconnect between Q3 and Q4 onwards. Also noteworthy q3 gdp boosted mainly by construction and govt spending which surely is not sustainable simply based on the spending cuts let alone impact on consumption etc.
sultan5568
jubail industrial, Saudi Arabia
Posts: 10
13 years ago
Oct 26, 2010 17:13
1.5880 Is became very strong resistant , i hope to see 1.5650 tomorrow .
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 26, 2010 11:04
interesting 55 sahbi
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Oct 26, 2010 10:59
55-day MAs are usually important in FX . GBPUSD 55-day MA is 1.5650


STERLING BOOSTED BY HIGHER THAN EXPECTED Q3 GDP, which rose 0.8% q/q and 2.8% y/y, twice more than expectations. The figures were propped by the highest construction spending since Q1 1988, raising questions over the sustainability of this sector. While the WEEKLY cable chart continues to show negative oscillators, the daily chart allows for shorter-term gains towards $1.5880s. Im sticking with my bearish GBPUSD call, targeting $1.5770 & $1.5720 for later this week. The 55-day MA stands at $1.5650, which is the base of the last 5 days. SEK DROPPED across the board after the RIKSBANK issued a DOVISH RATE HIKE, raising the repo rate by 25-bps to 1.0%. 2 members argued against the rate hike, while the overall committee stated that weak developments overseas and low inflationary pressures mean slower pace of tightening ahead. The bank lowered its 2011 and 2010 repo rate outlook to 2.0% from 2.4%, and to 2.9% from 3.3% respectively. EURSEK regained 9.2, now facing the previous trend line support at 9.27. WATCH OUT FROM THE GRAVESTONE DOJI IN THE DAILY S&P500, which could portend a lower rest of the week, thereby likely lending near-term stability to the USD. Watch US consumer confidence today for a possible catalyst to these developments.

Ashraf