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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
redstone
bristol, UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 6, 2010 7:16
some pundits now predicting GPB/USD 1.70 by year end what happened to all the previos predictions of 138 ? very confused............
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Oct 6, 2010 2:53
chloe, they already pushing hard on auterity and the impact of the bite has not yet hit. thats why BoE remaisn recluctant in hiking rates. the impact of this year's VAT hike will erode from the annual data starting from next year, hence, upward price effect will diminish. Guess what that will do to inflation

Ashraf
sohajytrader
giza, Egypt
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 17:48
Still GBPAUD 1.5650 & 1.5800 or what where we but a stop lose 1.5250 Enough
subway90
Korea Sout
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 16:27
GBP will likely be heading to new highs next week....
as long as it doesn't break to new highs this week... expect correction down to 5780/5800 level next week... we could see some big moves for GBP next week...

only break below 5668 would mean rejection and would see GBP fall back to 5450/5500 level....
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 15:53
GU approaching that important level at 1.5935 again. A break will signal 1.6053 on my chart.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 14:35
Chloethebull,

While you waiting for Ashraf reply I been in England for 66 years. I been bearish our economy since 1998 so perhaps a little biased !

UK is basically bankrupt just like the USA, Jpn and most of EUR. And that's without talking about pension liabilities and demographic nightmares lying just around the corner.

The tax you refer to is our VAT on goods and services bought and sold. The VAT rate was at 17.5% for some years and then after the financial bank crisis they lowered it temporarily to 15%. It will now go back up to 20% taking effect in Jan 2011. This will not help to reduce our inflation in the shorter term but that is not an issue because the whole world will enter a deflationary spiral environment, perhaps lasting several years.

Our new coalition government have pledged radical cuts in public sector and in downsizing government to reduce our deficit. Also they plan to force the long term unemployed back to work but the planned cuts will lead to massive unemployment in the shorter term. Also the UK has a difficult problem controlloing immigration, we pay for our past commonwealth and colonial sins as well as being controlled from Brussells. This places even greater pressure on jobs.

The markets are believing our plans to radically cut the deficit so our credit rating is still AAA. So far the government has been all talk about cutting the deficit but putting it into practice will be a very different matter indeed. The markets will not exercise forbearance forever. We will have to wait and see who are the the comparitive winners and who the comparitive losers in the battle ahead. The entire planet will be the loser once this whole situation has played out. You can blame the banks and corrupt governments for that.

The only good news I see out there is related to what our scientists are doing on a worldwide scale. If anyone manages to salvage this planet it will not be the money spinners or corrupt governments, it will be the scientists.
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 4, 2010 22:40
hi ashraf,i was talkn to a friend from england an asked him what he thought about there economy an he mentioned on the 15th there raising a tax from 15% to 19% ..this was talked about over a few drinksso im hopeing im acurate..if iam can u please explain some possib effects cause to me that is not printing money but more like austerity measures..ok thanks for ur opinion:)
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 3, 2010 11:24
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vp7hUhfO36k&feature=related

u will need that for the cocos
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 1, 2010 21:55
what is use is simple
when i detect a reversal or continuation i follow the rule of the third, ie, i divide the candle in three parts and when markets is uptrend i enterr at part three top with Stop at limit zone 1/2 and when market is down i enter part three down with stop above at limit zone 1/2.

as for break out i choose to enter above/below the break out with lets say fw ticks spreads and placing a stopat 5 or 10 % according to level of risk.

plus i use a lot EW and rsi
Flast
Hamburg, Germany
Posts: 8
14 years ago
Oct 1, 2010 20:39
explain more if you dont mind , Break out trading is just 3 ways

1- get in when its broken whatever is the time frame (the problem here that the price could pull back)

2 - wait for back testing "and this what i prefer but i miss allot of opportunities with this method look to the EUR/CAD broke triangle and didnt back test it "

3 - get in when candle close above the broken area "if the broken area is in daily wait until one daily candle close above the broken area"

Which one everyone prefer here and what is the best one Mr Ashraf use?

thanks guys