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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:
Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
I'm w/ you...
Asad
are only and only political problems and are easy to understand. Germany made much profit from the go east strategy cheap labor cheap credit ... the PIGS had no access to the ceap labor cheap credit zone and became incompetitive. That's the whole story.
utters Trichet-like nebulous statements as they did well then we have more uncertainties on top that will drop commodities.
hum we hardly ever discuss technicalities of trading seriously.
You may be interested in a stuff called copola.
You see chart astrologists draw straight lines and call these trend lines and crosses support or resistance.
All these ideas come from the axiom markets are independent of each other.
Of course they are not independent.
If we would apply some basic form of copola to these lines they would become curved
and the curvature would change with every change in another market.
This gives more precise entry and exit levels. Namely exactly those at which the particular
market under test behaves indeed as if it were independent. Inertia, so to speak.
I put major longs (in a while) on crude...w/ tight stop losses (keeping in view the volatility)! Let's hope it works. There's an increasing chance though that oil'll touch 67. Have it covered as well. As I said, I'm MORE investing than trading now...
Asad
P.S. Catnip, GREAT to have the technical side of you around! :)
below 77$ the downside is confirmed on oil hold your short positions with first target 70$ and then 65$
If you want to be long on oil I think that you should wait for the decline of the volatility