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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
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asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 6:41
Said,

See if this works for you...
http://www.moneyweek.com/news-and-charts/market-data/oil.aspx

Change the variables in the right column to get oil charts dating back to five years. Let me know if this doesn't work & I'll sort out s/thing else.

I mayyyyy be travelling on the w/end of the 20th...but it'll be great to catch up w/ you! Let me know when your plan materializes - my first intent would be to meet you, even if over a cup of coffee.

Have a good w/end...


Asad
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 2:05
T. welcome. I look for Intermarket signals wherever a sensible trend emerges. the bottoming VIX is NOT the strongest signal at the moment for me right now. It is the Aussie's reluctance and gold's tapering off as well as Oil's inability to break 81.40. From there i look for higher USD as higher JPY will have to take a break now after those headlines from the Nikkei News

Ashraf
T.
United States
Posts: 1
15 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 0:16
Ashraf,
My first post. Divergences all over the place. $VIX, $SPX, $COPPER, etc. When this happened last, the decline in equities lasted 8 days, paused, then another 3 days. Do you think with so many multiple alignments in currencies as well that this decline will last longer than that previous example, or shorter? In other words, from your VIX IMT today, would VIX stop at 22 or keep going up to 28-30??? Any thoughts very much appreciated!

Tom
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 20:53
rrose

technically there is a specific market pattern on oil, a flat, and the level given represent the last leg before the the fifth wave

plus, pension, mutual and hedges funds are arbitrating between asset classes ie treasury gold and oil.
oil might not be responsive to a neutral positive jobs report. i dont have the seven years treasury bond yield but it is the gauge for this kind of arbitrage
i reiterate there will be massive inflows of cash in treasury as i said since two week when yield were at 3.80% and the spiral downturn in tnx isn't finsihed
as for prechter predicted the TOP at 1000 and it has already passed but that was beginning january forecasting they might have changes the stance since.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 20:53
rrose, great question and thanks for bringing that up ! If you can trade GOLD/AUD, sure thing, this is going DOWN already and GOLD?USD should follow.

Trendline support at 1240 for gold in AUSSIE TERMS

Ashraf
rrose
United States
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 20:42
ashraf you once mentioned going short gold via xau/aud do you still think that is the better way
rrose
United States
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 19:56
said.
oil down gold up?
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 19:33
@GUNJACK

i hate giving my projection when i cant base them on LT chart
but any way here is my take on short term for tomorrow end day and next week

oil at 76.90
if boken then 7550 but less plausible.
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 18:27
Said what's your view on WTI?
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
15 years ago
Mar 4, 2010 18:22
GUNJACK

I LET THEM STRIKE

I FLY FROM ZURICH MAYBE;
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