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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Jun 12, 2012 17:50
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This thread was started in response to the Media:

أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 12 يونيو 2012

Most particularly about today's action is the recurring divergence between a falling euro and rising equities (alongside risk currencies weighing on USD) before the Fitch downgrade triggered an-all round risk-off reversal. As we speak, markets are attempting to rebound into the green, leaving the euro behind, highlighting the possibility that further question marks in Spanish banks ability to recapitalize will not necessarily spill-over to non-Eurozone assets as far as contagion is concerned. Combining the Spain bailout with expectations of a market-friendly outcome in Greek elections (New Democracy now leads over leftwing Syriza party) and signals for further QE in next week's FOMC allows for an extension of the recent rebound in equity indices. This is already favouring the risk currencies of GBP, NZD and AUD, with CAD. last night's Premium Intermarket Insights titled "Maintaining Consolidation View, include" longs EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD and gold. No positions in US crude. Distinguishing between the short and medium long term in these trades remains key. Direct Access here: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=645 Non subscribers can join here: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01