Intraday Market Thoughts

3 Qstns for Today's Fed Meeting

by Ashraf Laidi
Dec 10, 2025 15:40

The 1st question is how many dissenters will there be to today's widely anticipated rate cut. The 2nd question is whether the Dot Plot will forecast 3 or 4 rate cuts. If it forecasts 3 or less, then it can trigger a modest selloff in indices and gold with a boost for USD. Will I sell EURUSD? No. Will I Short Nasdaq100? Not at all. I am in fact waiting for a pullback to get in. The 3rd question is whether Powell delivers hawkish surprises at his conference, such as expressing concern about inflation, or sounding sceptical about more than 2 rate cuts.  Do Not be surprised if Trump announces today (or tomorrow) his nomination for next Fed Chairman, who is due to replace Powell in May 2026. A choice in Kevin Hassett would be a powerful boost for EURUSD, AUDUSD, gold and indices. Last Friday, I told the WhatsApp Bdcst Group about a stock that is less than $30. The stock is AAOI and today is at $30 from $26.  This is for my investments and is not via leverage.  

 
 

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