Intraday Market Thoughts

Why I Chose Gold vs Bitcoin

by Ashraf Laidi
Oct 29, 2023 14:48

Why did I compare Bitcoin to Gold in my latest Youtube video? Three simple answers: 1) Both are comparable in terms of their store of value and quasi limited supply); 2) Both have shown to act as possible substitutes/competitors to one another; 3) The 16.0 ratio has had a solid track record in calling inflection points in the value of BTC vs USD and other assets. You don't need to watch the video below on how to trade the BTC/XAU ratio, but make sure you read below to understand the comparison between the two

More on BTC vs gold:  

You've already heard that bitcoin is a form of monetary gold. They both serve as store of value but far from the best medium of exchange. The market value of gold that's above ground is around $9 trillion, whereas for Bitcoin it is $680 billion.  As Bitcoin disruption picks up partly with the help of democratisation by one of the safest investment instruments (ETFs) from the world's biggest asset manager (Blackrock manages $9.4 trillion), it has potential to gain 13x (9trillion/670 bln) to catch up with gold's captalisation. If you think that's way off, see what happened in in 2020-2022 when "things happened fast". 

BITCOIN remains the strongest computer network (confirming and validating transactions) in the world, and MONEY ... is the most powerful social network. It combines these two elements, alongside speed of exchange as powerful as email. Bitcoin is not controlled or backed by a sovereign state, while its supply shall remain capped at $21 million. As sovereign states resort to fiscal acrobats, living month-to-month by issuing debt to meet existing obligations, the fixed supply nature of Bitcoin combined with its technical invincibility makes it hard to miss. The Bitcoin/Gold ratio has been well above 16/oz for over a week. Take another look at the video to assess for yourself what happened to BTC when the ratio held or broke over the past 7 years. 

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Why I Chose Gold vs Bitcoin - Bitcoin Gold Nov 1 2023 (Chart 2)
 

 
 

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