أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي عربية -- 20 ديسمبر2012
Dec 20, 2012 16:45
We have seen 2 of the 3 requirements for yen weakness; i) increased asset purchases (up by another 10 trn yen), ii) rising equities. The 3rd factor will have to be rising bond yields. In order for this to happen, the BoJ will have to explicitly redefine price stability in its charter to say "2% in the medium term" and not just in the long term.
On the fiscal cliff negotiations, President Obama may be using Rpeublicans' awkward backing of pro-gun laws in his talks about taxing the rich and sending cuts. Regardless of the progress made in the talks, any fear of a disagreement by year-end is unlikely to weigh on markets, which are boosted by central banks' enthusiasm to ease and look the other way from inflation targets.
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On March 30th, I sent an IMT (see here) highlighting how we called the bottom in Nasdaq at 22780, with a video demonstration shown here . On Monday, we issued a bullish post on Nasdaq, calling for a rally extension to 24,440 at the meeting point of the 200-DMA. This is what we call 2000 points highlighted to out WhatsApp Bdcst Group members. We ignored the insults-ridden messages of Trump, we disregarded his threats to "destroy civilisation" and stayed Long Gold and Long Nasdaq until 4840 and 24,440. 4840, you may recall is a near make-or break level for Wave 4. So, You have two choices: Chase Trump and the news on every release, or stick to a set of fundamental and technical framework. Here is one message sent on Monday before going on holiday.
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