أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 05 يونيو2013
Jun 5, 2013 20:32
Ashraf continues to expect that the Fed will not reduce purchases this year, but the US dollar is likely to retain its firmness. While the Fed is locked into the pendulum of market expectations of tapering/maintaining purchases, the ECB remains linked to the rate cut/rate hold pendulum.
Ashraf also explains the 2 main structural changes lining up in favour of the Nikkei despite recent losses. The trading implications of such insights are found in: http://ashraflaidi.com/account/logon?ReturnUrl=%2fpremium
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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