Forum
Posts by "edi"
5 Posts Total by "edi":
1
Posts by Anonymous "edi":
Race to raise so that they can lower after/during a recession.
ALMOST everything (frankly can't think of any but gotta b there)that is short has NOT worked, plus the i-rate differentials vs U.S. are 'no-brainer' and Jim Rogers is very long Eur (he's not purrfect but good nose for trends). Technically I know I am very wrong, BUT price did pop thru the 3 point downtrending trend-line (since may 08). I have to respect that. I do see a '3 bump top ' on the daily '9,3,3' stochs so that's very bearish. But really, I can't discount ze Germans trying to keep the EC together until their voters tell them Nicht. Lotta firepower in the Germany, lots. At best, I'm hedged with bullish overweight...
My question is this: given the 'supposed' size of Japanese Mrs. Watanabes still active in forex, and given the hightened risk in here-to-fore safe assets like Euro bonds and U.S. bonds, is it 'unreasonable' to assume the JPY could trade down to 75 or 65 ? I have to think it would take massive fear on the part of the Japanese to repatriate their JPY thus bidding up their currency.
I only bring this up due to the long term trend (1997+), if we draw some channel lines, and 87 and 82 levels are violated, I could see those lows being possible.
Thanks for your terrific info and work.