Of Gold Extensions مقياس إمتدادات الذهب
Friday's $2431 high in gold consisted of a 21% rise from the Feb 14th low. Such percentage extensions from key lows or/and technical levels such as the 200-DMA, could flag crucial opportunities for partial/full profit-taking. Watch here.
My aim was not to disturb the peace here. It was meant to be purely a healthy criticism so that quality of calls can improve. Ashraf is a very good "analyst" and I said that he is TOP 3 imo for analysis of central banks and fundamental economics. His calls on GBPAUD, AUDUSD and USDJPY stands out. But he may not be best forex "trader" given he ends up chasing a lot. His stop placement needs to improve.
Now lets discuss the call to short USDJPY based on a death cross. There are research studies available which suggest that in the immediate aftermath of a cross, the pair will move against the cross. Its called a shakeout of traders who jump in early. Everyone in the forex world has seen that cross. Not a big deal. What will market do? Logical that markets will go against the early kids who jump in for the easy 200 pips? Will trading be that easy?
Second reason why you should reconsider USDJPY: US and EU yields have broken to new highs. Hope you saw that. 2.83%? You think USDJPY is going down after that? It may later but now or next week? See how close your stops are.
Third reason: There are some major resistances at 98.5 and 99. So imperative that some stops will be hurt. That is how forex works. Its called stop hunting.
So there is my 2 pence on your USDJPY call. When one trades and loses money and over 5 months continuously, then one starts learning all aspects of trading instead of just one or two aspects like a stochastics and cross. I also explained how your EURUSD long was wrong. Sure enough here we testing your second stop at 1.3380.
So excellent analysis on economics and fundamentals but trading is a different beast all together.
Hope we forget and move on. I requested Ashraf to delete my post but he has not yet done that. Please pardon if this seems one sided criticism as I dont aim it to be. He is a damn good analyst.
Ashraf, as to success rate, why dont you calculate your own calls from March? I calculated success as winning to total calls. I can send you the excel file if you need it? I dont like posting these files when you yourself dont post the calls performance and ask subs to calculate.
But again third time: I compliment Ashraf as he is a wealth of knowledge. No doubt about it. Just I lost money so am frustrated.
Please please feel free to delete my posts which are not right.
I maintain forex is full of scams.
You see why I hate forex world with all its scams and marketeers. Its a place where all the failures of the world are collected together.
No signal provider who is truthful has a good record in forex. Odds are agains the subs all the time. The best place to be is to advise and teach and provide some indicators etc. The worst place is to trade personal money on this shit market. Just see what EU did today. 1.3207 to 1.3350 without a reason or logic. Just like that.
How do you think I can make that? Only one solution comes to mind. Become a forex signal provider or advisor who has never made money in his life. odds are that I too will have bad and good days and I will market my good days like hell and get as many subs as possible. During bad times, I will say that is the costs of business and ask my subs to go take responsibility for the losses.
Trust me its one lovely business and the forex world is filled with such services.
Ashraf is a genuine guy so am not blaming him. But there are 100's of forex scams and well I will join the party to make my losses back.