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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Nov 11, 2009 16:58
Comments: 36
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This thread was started in response to the Hot-Chart:

EURGBP & EURNZD

 
 
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Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Dec 21, 2009 0:49
Maria, I issued my 0.96 fcts at the same time when i expected 1.55 for EURUSD. When i changed my year end fcst in early Dec, i had to change my eurgbp view which is now support of 0.87.

Ashraf
Maria
Juarez, Mexico
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Dec 18, 2009 14:51
Hola Ashraf,
So many good calls you make this week on EURUSD this week!!!
Question please. I very confused about how to understand what is happening with EURGBP. Maybe I not understanding. You say EURGBP looks like it going to 0.96 and yet it also going down very fast. Does it look like it will go lower and should I short now?
Thank you,
Maria.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Dec 16, 2009 7:53
Momo, EURGBP becoming a very euro-specific story (greece, austria, ireland) which can break the pair below the 50% retracement --0.8929-towards 0.8850s.

celtic, yes exactly. JPY and USD are being used interchangeably as funding currencies each time markets improve, but with Fed possibly sounding a little hawkish on inflation today, this could favour USD vs JPY, also relative to other pairs. Also watch ECB tender today, which i will mention in the IMT.

Ashraf
Celtic girl
Arinsal, Andorra
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Dec 15, 2009 16:04
Hi Ashrf,

As it appears the yen has taken over the baton from the USD on the carry trade,
does this mean the yen will get sold v GBP and the EURO.

Would like your views when you have a minute.

Thanks
Celtic girl
Arinsal, Andorra
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Dec 15, 2009 10:05



l notice that most on this forum are bullish on the euro, well purely from a fundemental point
of view, l feel that the euro will be reined in whether by manipulation or otherwise. Certain euro
countries will not get back on an even keel if the euro appreciates any further. From a personal
point of view Spain and particularly France horrendously expensive-republic of lreland-consumers
travel to northern lreland, where goods are far cheaper, l myself wait until l go to the uk to buy
major items, as do most of my friends, l'm talking treble. Although export numbers coming out of
Germany,France,Italy seem a little encouraging, the high euro must still be having a huge impact
on exports from the whole of euroland, not to mention housing and tourism. l feel something will
have to give, because prices are completely out of synch and that things will not really take off until
the euro comes back to earth.
Momo
Arizona, United States
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Dec 15, 2009 9:11
Mr Laidi:

I've been following you on CNBC last few days and appreciate the insight you provide. Would you please share your latest thoughts on the EURGBP for this week and advise on where you see this cross ending the year? Same time last year this cross was 800 pips higher in '08. Given the latest downtrend in EURGBP since Thanksgiving weekend, I feel like it's going lower. Is it time to short yet?

Please advise.

Most Respectfully,

Mojo.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Dec 3, 2009 8:46
Stacy, they are lower highs but the lows are stabilizing (also getting higher). Weekly stochastics turning higher while support is firming up at 0.8680s. At this point, fresh euro gains will more likely emerge on bad negative GBP dynamics than positive EUR dynamics alone.

Ashraf
Stacy
California, United States
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Dec 3, 2009 7:12
Hi Ashraf,

Is there any reason to think EURGBP will go higher from here? It seems to be only making lower-highs in the last 12 weeks. Where is it headed in your opinion?

Kind Regards,

Stacy.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Nov 29, 2009 23:41
patriot, yes AUD recovering against GBP, but if we get a fresh attack on Aussie in light of this dubai stuff, this could come down again hard ESPECIALLY if RBA does NOT RAISE rates.

Ashraf
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Nov 28, 2009 7:28
Ashraf,

I think jtk either means BUYING puts for shorting oil...or shorting oil by selling the underlying derivative...


Asad
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