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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:
Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
The European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the International Monetary Fund have all recently warned of a looming crunch, especially in Europe, where banks have enough trouble raising money as it is.
Their concern is that banks hungry for refinancing will compete with governments which also must roll over huge sums for the bond markets favor. As a result, credit for business and consumers could become more costly and scarce, with unpleasant consequences for economic growth."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/12/business/global/12refinance.html?_r=1
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Ashraf
Something I've learned the hard way.
Hope I've learned, anyway.
Here I need to change my way of trading, when I cut too quickly my gains and let my losses running.
What's your time frame for the next leg down ? Do you still think that the bull trap will take place until september, or could we see a bear attack before ?
The market is a discounting machine, and I think that it has not discounted a republican victory by november yet. So when it will, I guess eurus will drop to parity and equities should go down likewise.
How do you see those events unfold ?
China reduced iron ore import and sits on huge stockpiles of industry metals and the subsidies
created a housing bubble.
No no there is no sustaining recovery
What appears to have really happened is that one nation or more needed foreign exchange to counter some shortfall in its accounts and raised these funds as a short-term liquidity measure, believing that it would be able to return the currency and receive its gold back. The gold would then be returned at the conclusion of the swap period in return for the currencies swapped. If it fails to return these funds to the BIS, then the BIS could discreetly place the gold with another central bank, should it not want to keep the gold. If it did so, the BIS would simply report its disposal of the gold, the originating central bank would report the drop in its gold reserves and the gold buying bank would report its increase in the reserves.
This puts the transaction into an entirely different category. It seems that one or more of the developed world's central bank's credit is not good enough for other governmental institutions. If word got out as to which this country is, then the financial markets would go into quite a spin, shaking the global financial system to its core. No wonder the B.I.S. is keeping such a low profile!
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page103855?oid=107700&sn=Detail