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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 17, 2010 12:34
said
my thesis is simple
USD will be invested in EUR dominated stocks as hedge looking for big yield.
But for large scale investment the EUR stock index is too high and EURUSD is too high.
Just make a chart pricing for ex. German Dax 30 in USD and Gold in EUR.
All silver mining stocks are at critical marks. XAUUSD runs inverse to USDx one cannot make profit with Gold. But stocks, oh yes. DAX30 can, in USD, double by ye. of course this holds for some emerging markets as well. Indonesia India ...
We cannot trade China stocks in Shanghai this is big potential given China appreciated yuan by 10%.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 17, 2010 12:26
the EUR benefits from USDx not from internal EUR strength
bojan
Arizona , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 17, 2010 11:11
.....let's go back as far as July, and look what was opinion of "THE MOST ACCURATE FOREIGN EXCHANGE FORECASTER"
http://www.thedailycrux.com/content/5175/Euro

I don't mean any disrespect to the Mr. Osborne, but just to point out how even some of the best in the business, sometime can be sooooooo wrong. Besides the bad call for Eur/Usd, it is useful to read the article and reflect on the sentiment, then and now. There is one thing that is common for both situations - just about everybody is on the one side of the trade. That was just about 100 days ago, and we all moved to the opposite extreme.



b.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 17, 2010 9:52
wrong catnip
the export consortium is back
Teich
California, United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 16, 2010 13:36
Hi catnip. EURUSD being range-bound is possible. I think AUDUSD migth hover around 0.98 to 1.00 too, unless the equity market tanks.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 15, 2010 21:27
EUR selloff continues USD is bought. Imo before G20 we'll see range 13850 - 14100 but no
USD continued selloff anymore. EURUSD parity by ye has now probability 0.4

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 15, 2010 19:49
thanx to Dr.Ben yes. The difference of eur basket and EUR price in USD would yield EURUSD parity. May justice win err no rationality. I am short anyway right after Bernanke peak.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 15, 2010 15:55
Catnip, the charts show us that you are correct about the usd weakness versus euro "strength" Looking at the basket of euro E #F the basket case has retraced back up halfway between 38.2% and 50% of the move down from Oct 09 high to JUne 10 low. Whereas the eurusd has retraced almost 70.7% level.
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 15, 2010 14:35
well said subway..excellent pips were collected off bernanke yapping.(eruusd) not quite sure if i still love the usdcad ..thinkn eruusd has stolen my heart lol..gl guys an have great weekend:)
La Puzzy Digitalle
Kukuaka , Bangladesh
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 15, 2010 14:34
yea good