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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 903
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 903
Forum Topic:
CHF
Discuss CHF
could weaken CHF as estimated 500 $blns of evaded taxes in CHF.
No new USDx weakness in sight. And hence no EURUSD rally either. The relative currency strength EUR vs USD has not increased although USDx came down . Imo EURUSD trades won't be profitable for a while.
I think Ashraf's comment today will be valid ref binary interpretations likely to prevail for the DX. Things could become a little more challenging.
If somwhat reduced QE can stir up stock rally - I do not believe the present rally has legs -
then USDx will stay between 78 and 79 with bullish outlook.
Should the stock and commodity rally falter USDx will climb to 90 by 2011.
So to play USD weakness is over for a while, however CHF weakness will not persist.
Another recent example is your USD.CHF buy call at 0.9800 with target 1.0100+ So a contrary trader has to sell at 0.9800 with a target your stop (which was at 0.9550) and then after the squeeze reverse long and follow your initial call.
Keep on the good work. Your calls are good. But smart traders have to learn better ways to profit from them.
Best, Putko
Unfortunately I am at some loss in EURCHF short.
What needs to happen before a short? Could one short now or would it be better to wait for higher highs?