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This thread was started in response to the Hot-Chart:
EURUSD 1.1851 |
USDJPY 111.52 |
GBPUSD 1.3772 |
AUDUSD 0.7485 |
USDCAD 1.2406 |
GBPJPY 153.59 |
EURJPY 132.15 |
AUDJPY 83.48 |
CADJPY 89.86 |
Silver 26.23 |
James
ouyouyi@hotmail.com
As for Gold correlations, indeed, late last year was classic when Gold rallied stronger than the AUD/USD. Approx mid-Q3 and early Q4 last year, even EUR rally harder than the AUD against the US. Even at Dubai Crisis announcement on the even of Thanks-Giving last year, AUD came off a lot vs Gold. But then again, some of the equity correlations with EUR / USD also have been off in Dec/Jan timeframe but it seems like they are starting to normalize.
As for job numbers, they have been great numbers for the bulk of the time and this market reaction isn't unusual, and of-late, these upside gains in the Asian sessions could quickly vanish either in EU or US trading sessions.
I hope everyone, including myself will make money on the current rally upwards on the AUD which also helps pick up on overnight interests or off-set against the shorts, and get ready to position on those shorts.
Callum Bir
Again I will state Gold is not rallying consistant with aussie, neither is eur of gbp. And usd/cad appears to have stopped going down (at least for now).
What these guys want you to believe is that because a tiny country like Australia had better than expected unemployment numbers (Aussie's have been known to fudge data to prop their currency), all the angst in the world was solved at 7:30 pm NYT on the aussie numbers.
You've got to be kidding me. This is just more noie in a market that is desperate to buy SOMETHING, ANYTHING other than usd.
If all was well, usd/jpy would be screaming higher, not trading near session lows. After the Summit relases its usless proposition to save Greece, usd will start its rally again. Tis time it will take no prisoners.
Callum
Also quote Ashraf's latest snippet from his IMT "$AUDJPY looks for trend line resists at 80.15"
There are lot of things that would favor the AUD today, including
1) the earning results of Rio Tinto.
2) China data, I don't know which way this would take the AUD, but if it is taken favourably, then it would be another major prop to the AUD.
3) Any further development from Greece bail out, at the of any EUR gains.
Callum