Forum > View Topic (Hot-Chart)
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Dec 2, 2009 21:33
Comments: 475
View Hot-Chart
This thread was started in response to the Hot-Chart:

Aussie Dressed up but where to Go?

 
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 22:34
Check out the Aussies taking advantage of illiquid market conditions to run stops in their beloved Aussie.
Callum
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 179
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 18:09
Hope you guys also traded AUD/EUR.. I just happened to look at the yearly chart, and notice how AUD/EUR higher than the 5 year high, breaking the 2007 peak.... Callum Bir
sydneyjames
Sydney, Australia
Posts: 348
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 13:48
hi ashraf, aud/usd just hit the session high because of the unemployment data, do you think the aud will go strong this week and next week?

James
Edric Ou
Singapore
Posts: 21
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 7:21
@Callum I think I have added you but i cant see yr name on my msn, perhaps u can send me a msg? thanks again :)
Callum
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 179
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 6:39
@Edric Ou, I trade full-time and sometimes overtime in sunny Singapore and happy to connect :-)
Edric Ou
Singapore
Posts: 21
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 4:54
@Callum thank you for the information, didnt notice u from sg too. Are you doing full time trading? I have just started trading forex not long ago and i would realli appreciate if someone could guide me along. if u dun mind can u add me to msn? thanks :)

ouyouyi@hotmail.com
Callum
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 4:37
@PippedOff, I would love to learn more about the "Goldman Sachs", what is this about, and how exactly they do it. Do you have any blog, book (or considering writing a book)? I will surely buy it / pre-order it.

As for Gold correlations, indeed, late last year was classic when Gold rallied stronger than the AUD/USD. Approx mid-Q3 and early Q4 last year, even EUR rally harder than the AUD against the US. Even at Dubai Crisis announcement on the even of Thanks-Giving last year, AUD came off a lot vs Gold. But then again, some of the equity correlations with EUR / USD also have been off in Dec/Jan timeframe but it seems like they are starting to normalize.

As for job numbers, they have been great numbers for the bulk of the time and this market reaction isn't unusual, and of-late, these upside gains in the Asian sessions could quickly vanish either in EU or US trading sessions.

I hope everyone, including myself will make money on the current rally upwards on the AUD which also helps pick up on overnight interests or off-set against the shorts, and get ready to position on those shorts.

Callum Bir
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 3:22
Callum-they are no different than Goldman Sachs!

Again I will state Gold is not rallying consistant with aussie, neither is eur of gbp. And usd/cad appears to have stopped going down (at least for now).

What these guys want you to believe is that because a tiny country like Australia had better than expected unemployment numbers (Aussie's have been known to fudge data to prop their currency), all the angst in the world was solved at 7:30 pm NYT on the aussie numbers.

You've got to be kidding me. This is just more noie in a market that is desperate to buy SOMETHING, ANYTHING other than usd.

If all was well, usd/jpy would be screaming higher, not trading near session lows. After the Summit relases its usless proposition to save Greece, usd will start its rally again. Tis time it will take no prisoners.
Callum
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 179
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 3:15
@PippedOfff, I find the Westpac move interesting also. I have a feeling they don't want to be too far off from NAB's forecast of 0.93 this Qtr and dollar parity my middle of this year. They are probably politically safer in being bullish and change forecast later on additional risk :-)

Callum
Callum
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 3:03
@Edric Ou, I have been overall net-long on the AUD but opened up shorts at the first spike up, and also eying 8890 as R3 (daily pivot point) or 8910 (38.2% between the Nov peak and Feb low) My short got activated on a false break below 8850 resistance level. I am not adding more short positions yet but I still see a lower AUD in the interim.

Also quote Ashraf's latest snippet from his IMT "$AUDJPY looks for trend line resists at 80.15"

There are lot of things that would favor the AUD today, including
1) the earning results of Rio Tinto.
2) China data, I don't know which way this would take the AUD, but if it is taken favourably, then it would be another major prop to the AUD.
3) Any further development from Greece bail out, at the of any EUR gains.

Callum