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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3119
Forum Topic:

Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)

Discuss Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
 
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 20:47
after a four hour rally put on 90 pips in their beloved Aussie, the RBA was aghast that Aussie actually had the nerve to drop all of 21 pips in three hours. What was the RBA's response? Call the PPT and engage incoordinated intervention to a) prevent equities from being red two straight days, and b)push the overvalued AUD back to near days highs.
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 20:41
@chloe-after a near scare of a complete breakdown in their beloved AUD, the RBA spearheaded a four hour ninety pip assault higher on shorts.

RBA was in a sheer panic when USDCAD popped over 1.030, as they know any strength against another commodity-backed currency would upset their Mardi Gras AUD party.
PippedOff
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 19:44
Stevens from the RBA returned my fax, said, "last one out of Aussie please turn out the lights."

PPT and RBA have shot their loads. Nothing left to dupe the public into buying overpriced and overstuffed and overvalued U.S. equites and AUD.
Eelman
Maine, United States
Posts: 93
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 19:05
Hope you're right about the PPT shooting their wad today Pipped. I shorted the kiwi @ .7026-- it made a nice evening star on the hourly chart.
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 18:07
@Expert-I could not have put it any better!
ExpertShark
United States
Posts: 13
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 17:48
Ashraf, Please confirm if you see what i see.

My EW Counts Show AUD as Done..(final move taking place right now)

1) EUR/AUD showing ending diagnol on last wave down.
2) You have made your case on AUD/NZD
3) Gbp/Aud finishing final move down.
4) Gold done on the upside.(1126 Strong Resistance)
5) Equities making final Push. (Should not Cross 1150)
6) Aud/Usd Last Move (Stopping Range .9150-.9230)

You Analysis would be much Appreciated.
Xaron
Munich, Germany
Posts: 528
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 16:46
No. Actually the RBA sold A$ in February, something around 250 million $. And yes that means that they sell AUD and buy USD. I don't know about March so far. But obviously every country wants its currency somewhat balanced and in the case of the AUD the RBA does nothing to buy its own currency, why should they? The rest of the world is already doing this. Or do you really think that someone wants to buy USD if he/she can get a yield of 4% in a somehow "safe" environment?
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 16:43
Xaron - I repeat. You yourself referenced the same report regarding RBA and FX transactions. However, you misread it and interpreted it as RBA selling AUD in FX. The report actually stated RBA sold a basket of currencies non-AUD in FX open market.

Xaron, so what was the contra-currency in those transactions? Yes! AUD.

Explain the USDCAD pair? Loonie is a high yielder? Yeah, so is GBP.
Xaron
Munich, Germany
Posts: 528
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 16:03
Hmm... so if you don't know why, how come you think that the RBA actually does it? I mean I see some light at the horizon and that might lead some investors to buy some high yielders? Could be that easy. ;)
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 9, 2010 16:01
Xaron-don't know why except that is a matter of pride for them to "yield" the strongest G-10 currency (pun intended, lol). You've mentioned the report Ive referenced a few times, which the RAB discloses it continuously sells a basket of currencies (ex-AUD) in the FX martkets. They were on record way back in the low 0.60s a few years ago of intervening on a regular basis.