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Intraday Market Thoughts

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What will the Fed do?

by Ashraf Laidi

Jul 5, 2022 14:52

Is the US already in a recession? Will July's Fed rate hike be the final rate hike of 2022? Will the Fed follow up with one more rate hike in September, and more in Q4 or will it pause in Q4, before resuming in Q1 2023? Which of the below do you think is the most appropriate? Select your choice in the poll below, then iew the results.

What will the Fed do? - Poll Fed Hike Jul 5 2022 (Chart 1)

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Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R (2 years ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7 (2 years ago)
The last time both #DXY and #XAUUSD fell by more than 2% this this rocketed higher... https://t.co/ekcYnGzWae… https://t.co/J0fe60fPCK (2 years ago)
The last time both #DXY and #XAUUSD fell by more than 2% this rocketed higher... https://t.co/ekcYnGzWae #forex… https://t.co/8mmAFLfXhI (2 years ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo (2 years ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟ موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2 @XM_COM (2 years ago)
Moving the goalposts? Trend vs Trendline: Gold, DXY, Yields https://t.co/htxZzKjl7U #forex #XAUUSD $GLD $TNX https://t.co/NE7mSpN2wq (2 years ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (2 years ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (2 years ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW (2 years ago)

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Latest Poll - Jul 05

Which of the below do you think is the most appropriate?

0.50 in Jul & Sep

92%

0.75 in Jul & Sep

2%

0.75 in Jul & 0.50 in Sep

3%

0.75 in Jul no Sep hike

1%

0.50 in Jul no Sep hike

3%

No Jul or Sep hike

0%

View Poll..

Interest Rates