أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 22 مايو2013
May 22, 2013 17:14
Ashraf gives his assessment on BoE's Mervyn King, UK inflation and the pospects for FX. The Fed's repetitive references to tapering asset purchases and increasing them are the latest rhetorical tool in guiding market sentiment. As the economy cools off, the doves at the Fed are on a mission to restore a more symmetric rhetoric, following a hawkish narrative prevailing in the first 3 months of the year.
Both of our longs in EURUSD thei final targets as so did GBPUSD shrt. USDJPY and USDCAD are 20 pips away from their final objective. 1 of 2 silver shorts ae in progress. Full detail on trades & charts are here: http://ashraflaidi.com/premium
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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