Ashraf Laidi on CNBC Arabia about NFP & QE3, Mar 7, 2012
Mar 7, 2012 14:01
Ashraf previews ECB meeting & Friday's US jobs report on CNBC Arabia. He states the recent improvement in US labour markets may further reduce the case for further asset purchases from the Fed, which may lead to ongoing market correction. With Feb ADP coming in above 200K, chances for +200K NFP become elevated. Thus, a robust report on Friday may trigger a positive knee-jerk reaction in equities and energy market before a possible turnaround later in the US session.
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
Click To Enlarge
Latest Hot-Chart - Apr 22
USDJPY and EURUSD
سأرسل رسالة صوتية و كتابية توضيحية لأعضاء مجموعة الواتساب الخاصة حول هذه المخططات - Will send detailed note on latest parameters to our WhatsApp Bdcst Group...
View Hot-Chart..
Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
Read Article..