Ashraf Laidi on CNBC Arabia (Greece, Spain & Techs), May 10, 2012
May 10, 2012 16:40
The balance between austerity and growth appears to be tipping into the side of growth reforms, prompting Eurozone sovereign yields to remain supported at the expense of the euro. Meanwhile, markets (euro bulls) are hoping that former Deputy Prime Minister/Finance Minister Venizelos will succeed in forming a new coalition (Democratic Left, Pasok and New Democracy) next Sunday, while excluding the anti-austerity Syriza party. As vocal as the anti-austerity backlash erupts in the Greek street, it lacks the required momentum to pass a complete rejection of austerity policies in Parliament. Meanwhile, EURUSD shows a familiar bottoming pattern, covered in our latest Intermarket Insightshttp://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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