Ashraf Laidi on CNBC as Euro Hits New 2012 Lows - May 24, 2012
May 24, 2012 7:15
Ashraf confirms that the EURUSD downcyles he warned about back in November are on their way in completion as the pair targets the initial target of $1.20. And with China's PMI deepening into contraction level, the trade argument for falling Eurozone growth becomes all too hard to ignore. Here are those cycle charts we first showed in November (see weekly EURUSD chart)http://ashraflaidi.com/articles/charting-euro-macro-yields-libor-spreads.asp
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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