أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 30 أبريل 2013
Apr 30, 2013 17:38
ECB's Draghi is now forced by the market to go on with the much anticipated rate cut --even if it it has little macroeconimic effect. Leaving rates unchanged would prop the euro higher, especially as the FOMC will likely downgrade its economic view on Wednesday and dampen expectations of any eearly reduction of QE.
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Gold is back retesting that $4670/80 level, representing the 38% fibonacci retracement, covered in that Fibonacci video 3 weeks ago. This time, however, the level, becomes a resistance rather than support. Note how silver is also facing a key 38% retracement level around 84.00. It is common to see silver falling behind gold, or gold leading silver. If more optimism emerges and metals push higher alongside further USD weakness, then silver's path above 80 will imply a decline in the gold/silver ratio. Watch whether gold closes the NY session above $4680/90, in which case silver will need to confirm with a break above 80 in Thursday Asia or Thursday Europe session. For those trading gold, 4720 follows as the immediate resistance, a break oif which paves the way for 4770.
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