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  • Intraday Market Thought: Everyone's Talking about this Risk

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 24, 2025 14:08
    Everyone's Talking about this Risk Chart Ask any economist about the likely dangers of 2026 and they will say....Before I cite the 3 reasons to worry about inflation, here is the chart of....nbsp; Next year is a mid-term election year, typically a volatile year...What's the likelihood we'll get a 4th straight positive year?....Now onto those 3 reasons...1) Economists (not markets) expect the Fed to cut between 75 bps and 100 bps....nbsp;....According to JP Morgan, "half of the worst drawdowns for traditional....quot; This means each time the Fed placed too much emphasis on stimulating....The result was negative for stocks and bonds, as was the case in 2022...Optimists are betting on the likelihood that slowing economic growth and rising....nbsp;....What's the likelihood that will happen? How will you position yourself?....But what if inflation rises? Will you stay in technology stocks? Will you hide....Out of the +25 stocks I shared with our Whatsapp Broadcast Group over the past....There's so much to share, but I'll spare you for now...nbsp;....Until the next newsletter, have a Merry Christmas and a resftul holiday...I plan to send a few more messages before the end of the year, but if you....nbsp;  ....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Update on Gold & Silver after USSC

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 14, 2026 19:54
    Update on Gold & Silver after USSC Chart I said in yesterday's newsletter that another delay by the Supreme....nbsp;But if the USSC continues to delay the ruling, it may mean either of two....Either way, gold remains boosted and silver will break above $100 video..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 4890 Hit, Now What?

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 21, 2026 11:34
    4890 Hit, Now What? Chart In Yesterday's IMT, I reminded about the importance of 4890 oz gold and the....This morning a member of the WhatsApp Broadcast Group woke up in the Middle....The member was lucky enough to find gold at 4888 and so decided to short...What happens now? The 15 mins chart is at a wedge, which could either break....Trump will address Davos at 13:30 GMT, may serve as a catalyst...But Silver has yet to reach 100, so we're far from done...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: USDJPY Jumps on Dovish Picks

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 25, 2026 11:40
    USDJPY breaks above the 4-week trendline resistance to hit a 2-week high at 156...80 after Japan PM Takaichi appointed 2 dovish candidates to the 9-member policy....The candidates are professor Ayano Sato at Aoyama Gakuin University and....If they're confirmed, then these new members will likely provide material....2 days ago I reminded our WhatsApp Bdcst Group I was long USDJPY, targetting 156...40...The chart below suggests 157...70s could well be the next target...nbsp; ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Beware of Fed Today

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 18, 2026 16:52
    The big question this evening from the Fed is whether they will focus more on....The Fed's latest dot plot forecasts from December expected one rate cut for....All eyes are on the new forecasts published today...Will they continue to expect one rate cut, or raise it to two rate cuts or no....This is what happened at the December meeting...Powell can sound more dovish or hawkish than the dot plots...nbsp;....Any hawkish suprises are expected to trigger more damage in gold, silver with....EURUSD is likely to be relatively supported compared to GBPUSD...Equity indices are seen less impacted negatively than metals in the event of a....nbsp;....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 6, 2026 19:34
    Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements Chart Gold is back retesting that $4670/80 level, representing the 38% fibonacci....This time, however, the level, becomes a resistance rather than support...Note how silver is also facing a key 38% retracement level around 84...00...It is common to see silver falling behind gold, or gold leading silver...If more optimism emerges and metals push higher alongside further USD weakness,....Watch whether gold closes the NY session above $4680/90, in which case silver....nbsp; For those trading gold, 4720 follows as the immediate resistance, a....nbsp; ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: How we Obtained 28200 & 7280

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 10, 2026 10:37
    How we got these figures on Nasda100 and SP500...On Monday, I posted a chart here showing the path to 28200 on Nasdaq100...The post was published when Nasdaq was at 28957...On Tuesday, Nasdaq recovered all the way to 29800 ahead of the NY open, before....Now, you must also ask "how did Nasdaq charted the path from 28957 to....On Tuesday, we posted this chart identifying that any upside will be....And that is exactly what it did (here's the chart again) ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold and December Hike

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 18, 2026 14:24
    Gold and December Hike Chart Wednesday's FOMC release of the dot plot and Warsh press conference pushed....Note how the white and green graphs have moved from below zero (yellow circle)....The green graphs shows 0...86%, implying an 86% probability of a quarter point hike in September,....The 2nd chart highlights the importance of the June 15th gap, whose floor stands....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Sigbn up for Ashraf's ECB Webinar

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 19, 2015 14:35
    Ashra's webinar tomorrow at 20:30 London/GMT will focus on the euro &....nbsp; Registration..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf at XTB this afternoon

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 14, 2016 14:00
    This afternoon, Ashraf will hold an interactive presentation at XTB's....nbsp;....DIRECTIONS.
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