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  • Intraday Market Thought: USDJPY Jumps on Dovish Picks

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 25, 2026 11:40
    USDJPY breaks above the 4-week trendline resistance to hit a 2-week high at 156...80 after Japan PM Takaichi appointed 2 dovish candidates to the 9-member policy....The candidates are professor Ayano Sato at Aoyama Gakuin University and....If they're confirmed, then these new members will likely provide material....2 days ago I reminded our WhatsApp Bdcst Group I was long USDJPY, targetting 156...40...The chart below suggests 157...70s could well be the next target...nbsp; ..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Beware of Fed Today

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 18, 2026 16:52
    The big question this evening from the Fed is whether they will focus more on....The Fed's latest dot plot forecasts from December expected one rate cut for....All eyes are on the new forecasts published today...Will they continue to expect one rate cut, or raise it to two rate cuts or no....This is what happened at the December meeting...Powell can sound more dovish or hawkish than the dot plots...nbsp;....Any hawkish suprises are expected to trigger more damage in gold, silver with....EURUSD is likely to be relatively supported compared to GBPUSD...Equity indices are seen less impacted negatively than metals in the event of a....nbsp;....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 6, 2026 19:34
    Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements Chart Gold is back retesting that $4670/80 level, representing the 38% fibonacci....This time, however, the level, becomes a resistance rather than support...Note how silver is also facing a key 38% retracement level around 84...00...It is common to see silver falling behind gold, or gold leading silver...If more optimism emerges and metals push higher alongside further USD weakness,....Watch whether gold closes the NY session above $4680/90, in which case silver....nbsp; For those trading gold, 4720 follows as the immediate resistance, a....nbsp; ..
  • Intraday Market Thought: How we Obtained 28200 & 7280

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 10, 2026 10:37
    How we got these figures on Nasda100 and SP500...On Monday, I posted a chart here showing the path to 28200 on Nasdaq100...The post was published when Nasdaq was at 28957...On Tuesday, Nasdaq recovered all the way to 29800 ahead of the NY open, before....Now, you must also ask "how did Nasdaq charted the path from 28957 to....On Tuesday, we posted this chart identifying that any upside will be....And that is exactly what it did (here's the chart again) ..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Sigbn up for Ashraf's ECB Webinar

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 19, 2015 14:35
    Ashra's webinar tomorrow at 20:30 London/GMT will focus on the euro &....nbsp; Registration..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf at XTB this afternoon

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 14, 2016 14:00
    This afternoon, Ashraf will hold an interactive presentation at XTB's....nbsp;....DIRECTIONS.
  • Intraday Market Thought: May Plots Delay, Fed Plots Lower Dots

    by Adam Button | Mar 20, 2019 12:40
    May Plots Delay, Fed Plots Lower Dots Chart Indices are finally coming off their lofty highs...Pivotal trade deals between the US & China along with the UK & EU are....CHF is the strongest currency of the day (our USDCHF short remains intact)....The Fed statement & dot plot forecast are at 14:00 New York, 18:00....Last night, a new Premium trade was issued (currently 40 pts in the green)....An additional trade will be issued ahead of the London close...Politics have been a more dominant force in G10 FX in the past two years than....A report on Tuesday said China was walking back some of its trade offers in....Markets reeled and the S&P 500 gave up its gains...At the same time, Lighthizer and Mnuchin revealed plans to travel China next....Enforcement remains a key hurdle and there's no doubt that the final....That's why it's worrisome that markets are pricing in a +90% chance of....That number might be right but the near-term risk is much more skewed toward....The story is flipped around Brexit with the market continuing to assign a low....That's understandable given the endless backstabbing in UK politics...The latest example is a report saying Conservative Euroskeptic MPs had been....That's something we've repeatedly warned about and it will come....Cable remains non-committal but it will undoubtedly make a large move once the....At the moment, neither the ERG nor the DUP wants to be the first to commit to....In the day ahead, USD risks rise with the Federal Reserve decision...It includes new forecasts, a dot plot and a press conference and is also....Look for a slight downgrade to growth in the statement from 'strong' to....The market buzz is for the Fed to move down to a only one more hike (either....If anything, the FOMC is likely to disappoint with a more-hawkish path as a....If so, the dollar could nudge higher, albeit the stakes are lower than most..
  • Hot-Chart: Trusting Inv H&S Formation Beyond the Weekend

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 2, 2019 20:21
    Some subscribers complained that last Tuesday's Premium trade (Aug 27)....The trade is currently about +300 pts in the green...We decided to risk sticking to the trade into the weekend, while cautioning in....As in all other Premium trades, there is technical and fundamental rationale..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Quadrifecta of Bottom Anniversary

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 24, 2022 18:14
    Quadrifecta of Bottom Anniversary Chart Two years to the day (minus one day) of the market bottom and strange things....Also strange because Mexico's president leaked a rate hike of his....Metals shot up on NATO's warning against possible nuclear accidents from....Indices dropped rapidly before regaining lost ground, leading to a unique....Any explanations on how/why?....Fans of the “why” could look at no further than breakevens, which....This is generally good news for metals and indices...As Gold/Silver ratio drops back to its 200-DMA, watch for a possible breakout....00...nbsp;....Meanwhile, both Ethereum and Bitcoin are doing nicely, but with ETH/BTC....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Theresa May Running the Clock

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 22, 2019 11:40
    Theresa May Running the Clock Chart Could PM Theresa May be running the clock to trigger a Brexit delay? A....More delay would increase chances of Parliament to push for a 2nd referendum....And with regards to the backstop (the main sticking point opposed by the DUP)....If the EU and May agree on such a deal, both the DUP and the Eurosceptic ERG....The Premium video highlighting last night's trade is posted below...On Friday, the Long DOW Premium trade hit its final target of 24630 from the....No Index trades are currently open...Stronger than expected UK earnings data (3...4% from 3...3% y/y) and a drop in Nov unemployment to 3...9% from 4...0% have also helped the pound...Germany's ZEW current situation index dropped to 27...6 in January from 45...3...US new home sales are due at 10:00 Eastern (15:00 GMT/London)....The ECB decision/press conference are due on Thursday.