Searched for: rate [and] cut
Results: 11 to 20 of 1,000
  • Intraday Market Thought: Beware of Fed Pivot Complacency

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 9, 2022 20:20
    pivot –defined as a halting of rate hikes, or, the start of easing in Fed....during recessions”, recall the rate cuts of autumn 1998 aimed at....months if you start from the discount rate cut of August 2007)....Interest rate cuts began in July 2019, firing up an....have resumed rallying during global rate cuts? ....current bond market prediction for Fed rate cuts in Q1 2023 is realized, how would..
  • Intraday Market Thought: The Powell Put is Alive

    by Adam Button | Oct 30, 2019 22:07
    Federal Reserve:They're not eager to cut, but they will act if something goes.... shift in the outlook to spark another rate cut...That means a December cut is much less likely than the 31% priced.... are pricing no chance of a December rate cut, and 1 rate cut by next June... to be the lasting legacy of this rate cutting cycle...was pricing in virtually no chance of a cut Wednesday but Poloz said they weighed..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Ahead of Powell's Testimony

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 10, 2019 13:02
    Ahead of Powell's Testimony  Chart further light on the probability of a rate cut later this month...Powell to hint at the magnitude of the rate cut for Jul 31, but is it too soon to....USD bulls argue that any rate cut would only be a one-time adjustment....also state that the magnitude of the rate cut does not matter because the ECB will.... shorter/smaller than two or three rate cuts over the last 30 years.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Golden View From the Mountain Top

    by Adam Button | Jul 19, 2019 16:46
    Golden View From the Mountain Top  Chart See below about the insurance rate cut topic...members opened the door for a 50-bp rate cut in addition to Trump's announcement....Insurance Cut?....Another essential question is whether a rate cut this month will be an 'insurance&....was in autumn 1998, when it made 3 rate cuts of 25-bps each  to stem the....Every other rate cut over the last 30 years was the start of..
  • Intraday Market Thought: BoC Rate Cut on Recession Watch

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 15, 2015 16:28
    The Bank of Canada cut its overnight rate by 25-bps to 0...The rate cut was all about fears of a full blown....Judged rate cut was needed to return the economy to....Since BoC described January's rate cut as an “emergency”, what....Previous reluctance from the BoC to cut was attributed to risking further....five months after January's emergency rate cut implies further shakedown Canada's....received the initial warning of a BoC rate cut on July 6th (well before those..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold Eyes 1680 ahead of G20

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 21, 2020 18:08
    Gold Eyes 1680 ahead of G20 Chart Now that Fed rate cuts are back on the table (they never..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Revisions Slowing the Slowdown

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 7, 2023 15:52
    Revisions Slowing the Slowdown Chart The pullback in unemployment rate should be temporary... in jobless claims and the unemployment rate...economic reality-- Companies decide to cut jobs at the later stage of the economic.... 2-3 weeks --just as the unemployment rate can jump from 3.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Inside CNY DXY Divergence

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 13, 2023 12:31
    Inside CNY DXY Divergence Chart is the Fed definitely wants to pause rate hikes tomorrow and in order for that to....The PBOC is now forced to cut short term rates, while the govt is....you buy? EUR because the ECB says more rate hikes ahead? Or, GBP after recovering..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold at 5 yr High on Powell's 1st Dovish Turn, BoE Next

    by Adam Button | Jun 20, 2019 11:45
    Gold at 5 yr High on Powell's 1st Dovish Turn, BoE Next Chart as Powell made the case for cut in July...went from 'fairly certain' of a rate cut in July to 'entirely certain'.... reacted by fully pricing in a July cut with a small chance of a 50 bps cut...A second cut in September is 86% priced into the Fed.... Fed's James Bullard voting for a rate cut...to dial back his prior rhetoric that rate hikes could come faster than markets..
  • Intraday Market Thought: World Trade Overshadowed by Indices

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 21, 2019 11:14
    World Trade Overshadowed by Indices  Chart all major currencies following fresh rate cut hints from the RBA...This compares to a 72% chance of a cut in December... optimism over the elimination of rate hikes...will shift to worrying that odds of a rate cut are not high enough, and this will be..