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  • Intraday Market Thought: Familiar Tune with a Twist

    by Adam Button | Nov 2, 2021 15:06
    Familiar Tune with a Twist Chart All eyes turn to Wednesday's FOMC statement and Powell's press....Until, then, markets (equities, bonds and cryptos) will do their best to....A series of economic releases on Monday underscored a theme that's....All currencies are down vs USD, with the exception of JPY...Euro rebounded to start the week as the market remains in high anticipation of....WhatsApp Group members got out of the 3rd long in the DAX at 15890, after the....Below is 1 of the 2 charts published on Oct 6th, making the case for the....nbsp;....A comment in the ISM manufacturing report summed up everything about the....The survey itself was a tad stronger than the consensus at 60...4 vs 59...2 expected...Prices paid soared, new orders cooled and customer inventories remain thin...The Markit manufacturing PMIs for the US and Canada underscored the same themes...The question from here is what happens next...We're keeping a keen eye on growing covid cases in China and the potential....At this point, the global supply chain can't survive another blow...Aside from that, the question is whether bottlenecks are getting worse or better...That's not something easily measured as it's been taken for granted....As it limps along we see more reports of companies willing to pass on costs...Perhaps that could unwind later but it's generally something that tends to....The longer it lasts, the more everyone through the chain will want to be....That's the question the market continues to struggle with because it&....What's clear is that markets are losing confidence in central banks and....In some fields, that kind of misstep would prompt a resignation.

  • Article: Leonardo Fibonacci & Gerolamo Cardano

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 27, 2021 1:00
    One great Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci told another -- Gerolamo....Here's what should happen.

  • Intraday Market Thought: 69 days vs 70 days

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 20, 2022 16:53
    69 days vs 70 days Chart You've already watched this week's video on 11-week cycles in Bitcoin....The daily version of those cycles is in the below chart, showing 69 days last....Combining today's rally in BTC and ETH with the SPX recovery above its 100-....Buy-the-dip justification may grow stronger when adding Nasdaq's bounce....All this sounds great, but more obstacles remain ahead...US 10-year yields having broken above their 200-week MA, such occurence could....Let's keep an eye on the following levels of confluence; 4550 on SPX 40K on....nbsp;....nbsp;  ..

  • Poll: Which of the below do you think is the most appropriate?

    by Admin | Jul 5, 2022 12:03
    Is the US already in a recession? Will July's Fed rate hike be the final..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Is CNH H&S Complete?

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 9, 2023 20:49
    On Dec 6th, I posted a chart of the USD/CNH (US dollar vs the Chinese offshore....33 days later, the H&S formation is 95-98% complete after USD fell against....This also coincides with 10% drop in DXY from its highs...There's that "new" saw in FX about USDCNH or USDCNY becoming the....Regardless, 6...78 on USDCNH represents a nearly complete H&S formation...Does that mean USD has bottomed for now? Does its coincide with a USD recovery....What does it portend for any coinciding technicals with gold and indices? ....nbsp;http://ashraflaidi...com/hot-chart/dxy-cnh   Several people are flying to London this....Stay tuned...nbsp; ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: CAD on the Cusp

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 11, 2023 16:13
    CAD on the Cusp Chart USDCAD is back down below 1...3500, not quite hitting the final Head and Shoulders target mentioned to our....So what is next for the pair? Last Friday, Canada had a stellar jobs report....See how each USDCAD rebound above the neckline failed to break the right....37 during market selloffs (risk-off)....Any renewed episode of market selling (possibly a strong CPI tomorrow) could....3480/90s...Yet, my position remains unchanged (as it has since Nov 4th)....Will the next phase of USD selling take us to 1...3170? What's so special about 1...3170 apart from it being a H&S target?  Most pertinently, there is....If you want to learn how incorporate interFX and intermarket analysis such as....There will be several fellow traders, a 3-course lunch from The Gherkin....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Saturday is Ashraf's London Event

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 7, 2023 9:44
    Saturday is Ashraf's London Event Chart You already know what it's about...No, the event will not be recorded...Find out more below, then decide for yourself to book your spot here...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Charts' Year to Date Performance

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 29, 2023 16:23
    Charts' Year to Date Performance Chart As the focus falls on AI, Tech and yields, cryptos are making a solid....Aside from Wednesday's Congressional vote on the debt ceiling, keep your eye....What used to be +50% odds of 3 rate cuts in H2 is shifting to a possible rate....nbsp; ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Of Gold Extensions مقياس إمتدادات الذهب

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 15, 2024 16:38
    Friday's $2431 high in gold consisted of a 21% rise from the Feb....Such percentage extensions from key lows or/and technical levels such as the 200-....Watch here...nbsp; ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Yields Stabilize on more Inflation Signs

    by Adam Button | Apr 16, 2021 16:45
    Yields Stabilize on more Inflation Signs Chart The old adage about the market doing whatever hurts the most amount of people....Does Friday's stabilisation in yields and USDJPY signal the start of....7% (9-year high) from the survey's 1-year inflation outlook...The latter helped bond yields find some support above 1...54% before regaining the 1...58%....nbsp;USD ended the week lower across the board, while NZD and GBP retreated late....Below are 3 charts related to oil, each suggesting ongoing pressure, despite....Oil is considered the next shoe to "rise" in the US dollar's....nbsp; Tune in to next week's action as the pre-FOMC blackout period is....nbsp; ....Short bonds was a consensus and crowded trade in April after the Fed endorsed....In theory, a series of strong economic data points on Thursday should have....Retail sales rose 9...8%, initial jobless claims tumbled to 576K compared to 700K expected...Both the Philly and Empire manufacturing surveys were strong with Empire prices....All of that should have driven yields higher but that's not what happened...Perhaps the bond bears – seeing the failure of a catalyst to cause a....US 30-year yield fell 10 bps to 2...25%, touching the 50-day average for the first time this year...There was talk of position squaring, a rethink on inflation and Japanese buying....The rest of the market cheered falling yields...US equities surged to another record and commodities climbed with copper....The FX market was more skeptical with commodity currencies consolidating...The dollar generally held its ground...On net though, we're starting to see some breakouts in charts we've been....nbsp;..
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