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Results: 501 to 510 of 1,000
Results: 501 to 510 of 1,000
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Hot-Chart: ECB Scenarios
by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 26, 2018 11:51
The ECB decision is at 1145 GMT (12:45 London), but it's a foregone....Instead, focus on messaging and press conference 45 mins later...Focus on any rewording of the calendar guidance...Draghi is in a tough spot as he tries to retain an upbeat stance on the economy....In the past he has been a masterful messenger, but the tweaking and....If he can navigate the choppy waters, the underlying bias may be toward euro..
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Intraday Market Thought: The Mid-Term Dilemma
by Adam Button | Nov 6, 2018 13:53
Americans head to the polls late on Tuesday in a vote that could lead to....The British pound is the top performer for the 2nd consecutive day, while the....The video for Premium subscribers previewing the various elections....Rules of Thumb?....There are generally two rules of thumb for traders during elections: i) the....Traders aiming to capitalize on volatility emerging on what are believed....Most importantly, remember to stay relatively small....The US midterm elections are primarily about the House of Representatives, with....That would result in a deadlock and a series of investigations that would....Still, every election seems like a potential disaster in the leadup and....Yet rules of thumb don't always work...Italy earlier this year is a good example...The MIB index initially climbed 9% in the eight weeks after the election but....Beware of November 2016 Moment....What's especially top-of-mind on the US vote is the results of the 2016....US futures initially crumbled on the shock of Trump's win only to begin a....Some said the reason to the subsequent rebound was the Trump's acceptance....By the same token, traders must watch not only the results, which will trickle....Could market participants anticipate a similar playbook? If that is so, then a....Fundamentally, Trump is promising another tax cut so there's some....On the other hand, Democrats holding the House are much more likely to curb a....As for the US dollar, a Democrat win in the House would certainly curb Trump'....While it's tempting to project certainty, the trade may be to chase the....We will also be listening carefully to the responses from Trump, Democrats and..
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Intraday Market Thought: Now for the Hard Part
by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 4, 2019 17:02Now that each of our 3 indices trades hit their final target this week (DOW30,....The next 3 weeks will be dominated by data-watching and volatility following....Some say we could retest 2967-70 on the SPX, others are focusing on 26570s on....The urgency for an October rate cut (raised by ISMs) was removed by today'....The urgency for a cut was removed, but the possibility very much remains...At this point, a violent surge in volatility & resurfacing trade....Technically, the charts below (from Sep 26) are a reminder that technicals do....So far, we have 2 existing Premium Insights trades. -
Intraday Market Thought: Join me TODAY for Traderfest2020
by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 13, 2020 17:50
Please join me for an invaluable trading webinar on Saturday, March 14, 2020 at....nbsp; Find out our best trade ideas for these volatile markets...Anything on your mind? Key technicals in FX and metals, the Corona pandemic....Learn battle-tested trading strategies...Get free MT4/MT5 trading tools...This is a MUST SEE trading education event of the year...and it's totally FREE...Don't worry if you can't attend...Register here and you will get a video recording of the whole event...Register now....See you tomorrow......
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Intraday Market Thought: Escape Velocity
by Adam Button | Jan 13, 2021 13:13
The US dollar re-emerges following an abruptly drop Tuesday as Treasury yields....The quick loss of dollar altitude raises questions about the sustainability of....Fed talk continues to dominate the schedule...The 2-way EURUSD trade for WhatsApp Broadcast Group members mentioned on....nbsp; The chart below conveys this morning's quick short trade on....nbsp;....We have been waiting for a day of flat Treasury yields to see how the dollar....Early signs aren't encouraging for dollar bulls as it slumped across the....Maybe that was a simple retracement after a six-day move but maybe it was a....We liken it to a launching rocket that needs incredible amounts of fuel to rise....Rising bond yields have been the fuel since the Georgia runoffs but they....For its part, Fed talk continues to be a modest tailwind...Comments continue to focus around better economic prospects and tapering...We will hear from Brainard and Clarida Wednesday but all the chatter about more....We will continue to keep a close eye on the dollar in the day ahead, along with....If this is it for the dollar bounce, it's a feeble one even by the..
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Intraday Market Thought: Central Bank Schism Appears
by Adam Button | Mar 2, 2021 17:00The currency market may soon be split between central banks who will tolerate....The Australian dollar was the top performer on Monday while the Swiss....Watch out for comments from Brainard in the day ahead...The ECB's Villeroy had the clearest response yet to the turmoil in the bond....He said much of the recent rise in yields is unwarranted and that the ECB....Those comments helped to lower eurozone sovereign yields after they earlier....An ECB spokesman was forced to explain that drop in QE to 12B from 17B as a....The Villeroy comments also helped to spur risk assets but some of that move....He said that much of the recent rise in yields “seems to be” vaccine....rdquo;....Rates hit session highs after that and helped to lift USD/JPY...However the moves were largely contained to bonds and the equity market ignored....Ultimately, the tension will need a resolution and we need a response from a....Brainard speaks on the economic outlook at 1800 GMT and as one of the biggest....If so, it will validate the rebounds in equities and the bounce in commodity....If not – particularly if she sends a similar message to Barkin – the....That kind of commentary would also put the Fed at odds with the ECB, RBA and....It should help to lift the dollar against that duo and more. -
Intraday Market Thought: RBA & Boris Johnson Reversal from Covid
by Adam Button | Sep 7, 2021 14:12
Aussie fell across the board after the RBA confirmed what many had suspected-....GBP extends selloff after PM Johnson announcing hikes on payroll and....Metals and Nasdaq futures are down as bond yields rally on the way back from....The US dollar is up against all major 7 currencies (AUD, CAD, GBP, NZD, JPY, EUR,....nbsp;....The best-laid plans in all walks of life have been derailed by covid in the past....This is the case for Boris Johnson's tax policy and the RBA's monetary....The latter had explicitly outlined a taper, but lockdowns with no end are....RBA QE is running at $5 billion per week and a month ago there was a strong....10 of 16 economists told Bloomberg they were expecting a delay in the taper...There was uncertainty after stronger than expected employment figures, but....Compounding the downside risk is the rapid recent run-up and potential for....Longs in EURGBP, USDCAD and shorts in AUDJPY appear to be sensibe trading....nbsp; ..
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Intraday Market Thought: CAD Conundrum
by Adam Button | Jan 9, 2017 23:37
The fundamental picture in Canada is looking increasingly rosy but the loonie....The yen was the top performer on Monday while the pound lagged...Japan returns from holiday but Chinese and Australian data will be the focus...Ashraf told BNN how Canadian companies are surviving CAD strength in today'....1 CAD remains in progress in the Premium Insights...The Bank of Canada released its quarter Business Outlook Survey on Monday and it....The slow-burning commodity bust left Canada vulnerable but the government....The loonie didn't get much attention in 2016 but it was the top G10....If the optimism in the BOC survey translates into action, more of those....The survey showed hiring, investment intentions and optimism about future....Combine that with Friday's Canadian employment report that showed 54K new....The problem with betting on CAD is that its future depends on things beyond....The first is oil, which fell 4% on Monday on worries about rising North....The fall in WTI below $52 takes out an important short-term technical support...The other vulnerability is just South of its border where the President-elect is....Despite Canada's commodity status, it also relies heavily on manufacturing....Canada's press reports that senior officials in Trump's team, including....If the US decides to re-open NAFTA, the ensuing uncertainty might be something....In the shorter term, Asia-Pacific traders will be focused on Australian....nbsp; AUD/USD has gained in four of the past five days including a bullish....Retail sales are due at 0030 GMT and forecast to rise 0...4% m/m...Chinese CPI is due an hour later and expected to climb 2...2% y/y, down from 2...3%....That's a sweet spot for the PBOC and Chinese economy but we continue to keep..
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Intraday Market Thought: GBP & Silver Separated at Birth
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 10, 2022 17:35
Another blowout US CPI report triggers another false reaction in metals...5 months ago, gold would plummet $50 on the mere mention of Fed tapering...Today, gold rallies alongside silver despite a 70% chance of a 50-bp rate....Gold's ability to survive through the tightening landscape (especially....We notified our WhatsApp Broadcast subscribers yesterday (see below the GBP....nbsp;....The other thing I want to highlight is the similarity between daily charts of....I reiterated to our WGP since Jan 27 that I remained long GBPUSD, as long as....3350 held up...And it did just that before mounting a solid recovery ahead/after the BoE....Our bullishness in gold and silver was maintained as long as XAUXAG failed the....It is no longer a secret that I emphasized the importance of gold/silver....nbsp;..
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Intraday Market Thought: 2023 Outlook Binge & Sector Dive
by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 4, 2023 14:12
Now that you've all binged on those “2023 investment outlooks”....This does not mean all technology shares are out...You cannot group Microsoft with Facebook, or Tesla with Netflix...2022 was clearly the worst year for equity indices since 2008 according to....But it's increasingly crucial to focus on sector performance and....The larger (central) chart focuses on sector performance since Jan 3rd 2021,....The more challenging period is that of 2022 (smaller chart on the left), where....nbsp;....Members of our WhatsApp Broadcast Group (WBG) were guided through a difficult....07 in May, or long gold at 1800 in August...nbsp;....But the real challenge is how to get back up when you're confidence is....Telling the WBG (as well as Dubai gold dealers on October 18-19th) that gold....nbsp;....Reiterating to Group members that EURUSD will recover (and not revisit 0...99) because of unique technical developments in the EUR trade weighted....Using tools such as the 10-yr/3mth yield spread in this video as harbingers of....Selecting the right stocks in the right time will be added to our WBG offering....nbsp;..
