Article Archives (2009)

Displaying Articles written in 2009

Dollar Sobers Up Despite Fed PunchBowl

Dec 18, 2009 18:24 | by Ashraf Laidi | 80 Comments
Time for US dollar to regain some composure, especially against the sterling, whose 2010 fortunes for the year appear dismal at best.
Gold & Yen's Perfect Desert Storm

Nov 27, 2009 16:51 | by Ashraf Laidi | 404 Comments
Yen strength still eclipsing USD rebounds during risk aversion. while gold's ascent is better gauged against currencies other than the US dollar.
Oil Weakness May Intensify

Nov 19, 2009 21:57 | by Ashraf Laidi | 315 Comments
Oil sluggishness may risk turning into a faster selloff, especially as the fuel fails to gain on recent USD losses.
Don't Forget the Yen

Nov 10, 2009 16:34 | by Ashraf Laidi | 611 Comments
Much ado about USD rebounds during falling markets, but JPY strength still outperforms USD.
FX, Oil Eye Equity Inflection

Nov 3, 2009 15:33 | by Ashraf Laidi | 25 Comments
Nearly 3 weeks after we highlighted the global risk parameters at $82 oil and 1,100 S$P500 (both 100-week MAs), global risk aversion has deepened across the board, triggering a 6% drop in G7 equity...
Parameters in Equities, Oil

Oct 22, 2009 18:16 | by Ashraf Laidi | 54 Comments
The 100-week moving averages in the S&P500 and US crude oil will act as the next resistance for risk appetite and USD-selling.
Multi-FX Gold View & Shanghai Reminder

Oct 7, 2009 2:17 | by Ashraf Laidi | 60 Comments
Looking at Gold in various currencies continues to help clarify FX secular strength, while it is time to revisit the Shanghai Composite's monthly chart.
Yield Curves, FX & LIBOR Trends

Sep 23, 2009 20:17 | by Ashraf Laidi | 57 Comments
Medium term trends indicate the US yield curve is ready for a major break out at the expense of the USD, while LIBOR trends offer more downside room for GBP.
Unusual FX Action?

Sep 11, 2009 14:18 | by Ashraf Laidi | 103 Comments
Broadening USD weakness is joined by broad yen strength rather than weakness could have implications for FX view on appetite.
VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal

Aug 22, 2009 3:37 | by Ashraf Laidi | 852 Comments
BRICS equity indices fail at key fib retracements, VIX and oil near major trend lines and sterling's sell-appeal hasn't looked this good in a while.
Unsustainable Appetite in FX, Equities & Oil

Aug 13, 2009 16:38 | by Ashraf Laidi | 200 Comments
We're witnessing more signs of peaking appetite, this time inside the individual Forex pairs, as well as more failure in oil and Chinese stocks
Quantitative Easing & Currency Strengthening

Aug 6, 2009 17:22 | by Ashraf Laidi | 37 Comments
Central Banks (ex Fed) have little choice but to maintain QE to avoid excessive tightening of transmission mechanism from their rising currencies.
Dollar Stabilization & Stock/Gold Ratio

Jul 28, 2009 15:51 | by Ashraf Laidi | 35 Comments
Dollar weakness getting too excessive, while the rising S&P500 / Gold ratio is nearing its peak.
Gauging the Bounce in Appetite

Jul 16, 2009 17:32 | by Ashraf Laidi | 89 Comments
Forex markets have yet to buy into the rally in US equities.
Dollar Stability Choppy & Temporary

Jul 6, 2009 14:55 | by Ashraf Laidi | 61 Comments
The dollar's much anticipated stabilization is bound to be choppy at best
Green Shoots Fatigue & Intermarket Setup

Jun 29, 2009 18:15 | by Ashraf Laidi | 71 Comments
The much-anticipated dollar rebound will rather emerge on "Green Shoots" fatigue rathern misplaced views of a US economic recovery preceding the rest of the world.
Exiting the Exit Strategy

Jun 19, 2009 14:00 | by Ashraf Laidi | 65 Comments
Bernanke's FOMC will use "disinflationary" reference to containing yields rather than benign growth. Thursday is his 2nd chance.
Falling Equities Still Key for Dollar

Jun 10, 2009 18:17 | by Ashraf Laidi | 208 Comments
Intermarket analysis set-up still suggests that fresh equity selling remains the only source of support for the US currency.
Yield Shoots, Dollar Leaves

May 28, 2009 15:40 | by Ashraf Laidi | 129 Comments
Soaring yields give no choice to the Fed but to increase the quantity of bond purchases at the expense of the dollar. Speculative Forex positions agree.
Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping

May 20, 2009 20:02 | by Ashraf Laidi | 87 Comments
Fed's latest bond buybacks triggers fresh dollar damage, while VIX downside does not spell out the end of equity selling.
Oil to Underperform Metals

May 14, 2009 16:44 | by Ashraf Laidi | 54 Comments
Forex, oil, gold & equity implications of rebounding Gold/Oil Ratio.
Golden Chance from FX-Equity Play

May 7, 2009 23:41 | by Ashraf Laidi | 50 Comments
When FX lead equities
Rising Yields Fight the Fed

Apr 27, 2009 15:55 | by Ashraf Laidi | 42 Comments
Rising bond yields are further hampering the Fed's policy
Selective Carry Trades in FX/Equities

Apr 15, 2009 16:14 | by Ashraf Laidi | 40 Comments
Currency selection becomes more relevant on evolving risk appetite.
Aussie's Latest Boost

Apr 2, 2009 17:50 | by Ashraf Laidi | 21 Comments
The rally in copper and wheat enforces bullishness in the Aussie
Gauging the Turn in Dollar, Gold & Oil

Mar 20, 2009 15:05 | by Ashraf Laidi | 54 Comments
The Fed's latest negative-dollar move is likely to last more than in previous occasions.
Here Comes the 2-Month Cycle

Mar 13, 2009 15:13 | by Ashraf Laidi | 41 Comments
Stocks could be in for a fresh 2-month rally, in line with the pattern of the past 12 months.
FX, Bond Yields & Oil Prices

Mar 10, 2009 18:22 | by Ashraf Laidi | 12 Comments
Latest rally in bond yields and oil prices is largely a manifestation of supply forces, which could start weighing on the greenback.
Loonie's Falling Downside

Mar 2, 2009 16:34 | by Ashraf Laidi | 22 Comments
The Canadian currency faces deepening damage ahead.
Equity/Gold Ratio's 40 yr Cycle

Feb 18, 2009 14:11 | by Ashraf Laidi | 14 Comments
Equity/Gold ratio hits 18-yr lows, but cyclical patterns suggest more to come.
Gold's Net Longs & the Gold/Oil Ratio

Feb 12, 2009 1:20 | by Ashraf Laidi | 6 Comments
Gold's latest rally rests on a powerful set-up of inter-market dynamics.
Aussie's Risk-Based Bounce

Feb 3, 2009 16:31 | by Ashraf Laidi | 29 Comments
Despite another big rate cut, Aussie seen carrying prolonged gains along with further pullback in the VIX.
How Gold Links Treasuries & the Dollar

Jan 26, 2009 18:43 | by Ashraf Laidi | 30 Comments
Tracking treasury yields can be helpful in dissecting the USD-GOLD relationship.
Sterling's Damage & Geithner's Dollar Policy

Jan 22, 2009 17:36 | by Ashraf Laidi | 7 Comments
Unfolding currency priorities in the US and Europe.
More Risk Aversion til Pres. Inauguration

Jan 15, 2009 16:11 | by Ashraf Laidi | 28 Comments
Prolonged risk aversion is expected to ensue until Tuesdays presidential inauguration brings in a temporary feel good rally.
European FX Surge vs. Commodity FX

Jan 8, 2009 14:14 | by Ashraf Laidi | 9 Comments
As BoE rate cuts grow smaller, GBP and EUR emerge victorious against commodity currencies.
Risk Appetite Pushes the Envelope

Jan 2, 2009 16:01 | by Ashraf Laidi | 23 Comments
Equities on their way of breaching above the 20% rebound limit.

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