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Posts by "cygnus"
80 Posts Total by "cygnus":
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Posts by Anonymous "cygnus":
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/28/us-iran-hormuz-closure-idUSTRE7BR09E20111228 .
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/12/28/u-s-israel-discuss-triggers-for-bombing-iran-s-nuclear-infrastructure.html
2012...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0W5w691w0jE
http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2011111216011
Especially where I am in Midtown, Manhattan gets ridiculously packed with people this time of year. It's difficult to walk down the street at times.
1.3150 does seem righteous but - long term - I think the euro will have much larger leg down.
Euro zone banks remain inadequately capitalized. With over 30:1 leverage, they make their US and UK counterparts look conservative.
There might be a pop for eur/usd before the next large leg down.
Only the USA and UK have recapitalized their banks. Remember, Germany has defaulted twice in the last 100 years.
If the euro banks collapse, the eurozone could lose 50% of its GDP. Next could be Japan, which has the worst financials and demographics in the world (at present, only a 2% interest rate rise on Japanese debt might be enough to cause a default) . The USD will likely sky-rocket. There would be a deflationary depression.
Thanks for sharing, Dave.