DaveO: I'm not here to educate you, so let's suffice, if you claim that a death cross on the dailies on EURUSD doesn't matter, I'm not going to take you seriously, all right? ;)
In a matter of a few (very few) days we'll have a death cross on EURUSD (55dma under 1dma) that ought to take us, finally, to that 26s, and further. Maybe tomorrow's European auctions would serve as a catalyst. But the death cross is pretty much inevitable now.
I just watched John Taylor of FX Concepts on Bloomberg. Said the euro is going to parity. Also, countries will not so much fall out of EZ but be kicked out, so some kind of euro break up will happen.
I also watched Ashraf's CNBC interview yesterday saying no way the USD could rally 30%, even against the euro, so parity is out of question, despite more downside. Also, I can't recall where, but Ashraf said no way the euro will break up.
Now, this is a classic case of what will happen when you stick a slice of bread with the buttered side upwards on the back of a cat and drop them.
BTW, I especially loved the last remark on the CNBC interview. 'An impassioned currency discussion' 'With myself' LOL
"The location of the 2018 FIFA World Cup will be unveiled around 15:00GMTtoday.England is vying with favouriteRussiaand joint bids from Spain-Portugal and Belgium-Netherlands to host the tournament.Success for England could give sterling a boost, re:future revenuefrom visiting supporters. Most of the stadiums which would be used in an England 2018 World Cup have already been built." - ThomsonReuters
I wonder what Ashraf thinks about this - he is known to factor football events into currency cross forecasts. :)
Carlco, do yourself a favor. Pull up a chart of AUDUSD hourly, EURAUD hourly, and then GBPAUD hourly. Also consider that given the hung parliament the aussie is UP... Does this picture make you want to short AUD now? The weeklies show that a big move is coming, but it could go either way. So wait until the weekly shows its hands until then trade shorter timeframes.
Scaled out at 1.75s, 1.753 resistance intact. Looking for shorts from here, dependent on GBPUSD: there will be no important news for GBP today, so renewed interest in selling it might help GBPAUD back down to 1.73 - 1.725.
Hm. If 1.725 can hold in the next 1 - 1 1/2 hours then I would consider a long from the 1.725s to minimum 1.735 (retest of tl) and if that is succesful, then 1.753s, then down again, and up, and down... A range trader's dream this pair is, really.
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ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
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I also watched Ashraf's CNBC interview yesterday saying no way the USD could rally 30%, even against the euro, so parity is out of question, despite more downside. Also, I can't recall where, but Ashraf said no way the euro will break up.
Now, this is a classic case of what will happen when you stick a slice of bread with the buttered side upwards on the back of a cat and drop them.
BTW, I especially loved the last remark on the CNBC interview. 'An impassioned currency discussion' 'With myself' LOL
I wonder what Ashraf thinks about this - he is known to factor football events into currency cross forecasts. :)
http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKTRE67I55Q20100823