Forum > View Topic (Hot-Chart)
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: May 4, 2010 14:02
Comments: 347
View Hot-Chart
This thread was started in response to the Hot-Chart:

What's Next for Aussie?

 
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 22:04
i did not say i don't like it ... btw the double top rule of relative strength works but you don't see it in AUDUSD chart...but i see it.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 22:02
This is not your european parliament here catnip :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 22:00
Wrong again.

Why not stick with what you know and leave others to their preferred analysis of choice. If you dont like or agree with what Ashraf does with his tech analysis then go elsewhere. Some of the things you say reveal ignorance.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:52
of course it is different you trade relative price, but already Elliott had recognized technical analysis is only valid for absolute prices. It is strikingly clear why, because you have two
independent variables in one chart in an fx pair. In stocks no one would trade IBM price relative to Apple price with chart analysis.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:43
And yes I been using currency strength guages also.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:42
catnip, you are wrong. Tech analysis of Forex is no different to any other instrument. So many forex traders think forex is different. It is not.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:39
Chloe, for me the break below left arm pit at 9650 messed the pattern. At that point it should have carried on down to make H&S target or at least make 9500. It reversed at 9536 leaving a very lopsided pattern to continue calling it an H&S still in progress and the fact that the move didnt even make 100% symmetry from the 22nd Nov high was potentially bullish for the reversal back up. Since then we get bogged down in low holiday volume.

As far as Ashraf commentary, I got the impression he is open minded awaiting a clear breach of potential double left shoulder being reproduced for right shoulder or else not exceeding a ClOSE above the parity left shoulder level. In other words if price fails right here and reverses back down he will say it completed a double right shoulder (or triple right shoulder). When things get this messy I forget about H&S pattern and rely on other signals :-)
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:31
H&S is made by Proctor&Gamble ...such chart patterns have little value in fx.
Aussie relative strength has risen 50% for a week and the strength curve is a mirror image of
EUR and GBP. Since strength is an absolute value I think chart pattern tealeaf reading can be applied , it just makes a double top. I have checked it out, SHS and double top in strength
are rather reliable indicators.
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:17
i guess i need to give myself more time in the markets to learn more an build up my confidence.i do have pretty good sence on when i should or shouldn;t be in a trade just ignore that lil voice sometimes lol..an then i stick with the trade cause i don;t hear from ashraf on direction but i guess his direction is the same an he doesn;t change his mind until the h&s pattern is invalidated so i guess we should be hearing from him soon lol..1thing about what u said, when the aud started to fail(parady) an fell back below 9900 level u would like to see a solid push towards ashraf tp of 9750,an once that didn;t happen that was ur sign that aud was heading back up?thanks:)
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:09
One thing I would highlight Chloe with this damned H&S. When it broke down it then bounced back up without reaching minimum H&S projection target. To me that is always an alert, I prefer to see an H&S break follow through with power and make minimum target with no nonsence. OK then we had the "lets match the double left shoulder idea" but by then the pattern was becoming a mess for typical classical H&S pattern.

"Dammit Sir, when will these cycles behave".