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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
Hence USDCHF is falling the hardest
Ashraf
Price move against your assumed direction
I clutch on all kinds of narratives and hunches
MR X said so and so - the Fed or the ECB did this or that - libor / euribor / moody's / Goldman
Yada Yada Yada
Look at the price movement
Thats what is happening
Ask Why
Simple - US slowing down, Europe improving
Economic slow down or ramp up does not reverse in one day - it takes months
US slowdown will continue for atleast few months - consequently Dollar will correct
Similar to the Euro issue with Greece - surface in early november and went out of discussion in July
It was stupid of me to consider in january that the greece issue will be resolved soon
Like wise, it is silly to assume that the US slowdown will end tomorrow
Sit back - watch the dollar correct
dont loose money
Relax
Trading Forex is a form of gambling which always end in tears
i remember Asharaf clearly stating downside in EUR in Q4
little confused given you are now saying euro has 60% chance of euro dollar hitting 1.3130 before end of august. does this negate your call for 1.17 by end of Q3 / early Q4?