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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Jmx
Singapore
Posts: 44
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 11:39
Well done catnip. :)

I do wish to comments on the rest of the follower of all trades.....

Do your own judgment do not follow trade if he or she is good.

Cos no one can tell you 100% the trade will move from A to B.

Lastly you cant expect good trader to give u direction if he/she is right u got it ( happy with the $)
if he or she is wrong and had already cut lost ( you are crying tht you lost alot cos u have not cut lost).

So if to follow blindly must well throw a coin and decide which direction to trade. :)

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 11:25
Just to finish off the point about AUD/USD and the stock market: There is a nice video on Cantos charts about the FTSE. OK, that's just one market, but of course it has a lot in common with the others:
http://www.cantos.com/charts/project/6665/company/BETA%20Group/term/Analysis

(I think you need to be registered (free)).

Basically he (Paddy Osborn) sees a _possible_ 4-500 pip drop in the FTSE, with little confidence in the upside, or of course it could just drift sideways for the summer.
Nour
Casablanca, Morocco
Posts: 15
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 10:44
catnip you predict 1.26 by the end of june and u was right so where do u see eur/usd in july ?
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 10:36
based on credit markets I expect after retracing to 125- 1246 a renewed uptrend eurusd
that can have 500 pips to 600 pips however the overall downtrend remains . I think eventually there is no other choice than to re-introduce the ECU system with national currencies and narrow yet variable fx bands as the economies are and will cotinue to be too different for one rate policy fits all as a eurozone common economics and common finance politics has failed due to lazyness and incompetence of too many politicians.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 10:17
@Ozzy: On AUD/USD: Yes, I remember Ashraf saying that, but it depended on continued stock market weakness. But the stock market picked up, and with it the AUD/USD. Since the stock market has weakened again, so has the AUD/USD. Not in lock step perhaps, but it does seem to follow. It is looking quite bearish at the moment, after its recent small rally.

Lots of people are predicting a market crash as well.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 10:04
I was just looking back in the Eurozone Core thread, and there is Catnip's prediction around 15 June. It didn't quite make it - 1.27 by end June, but the direction was surely right, and it might still get there.

However, the 2nd part of Catnip's prediction was that the focus would swing back to Europe and it would go down to 1.1.6 in July (more in line with Ashraf's original prediction).

So you could say that Ashraf was talking about the longer term, but Catnip correctly spotted the shorter term countertrend.

On gold - I too was fooled, but actually, we have seen some recent sharp drops and even some gold bulls have been warning of a sharp drop before the bull run resumes.

At the end of the day it is the trader's responsibility for what he or she trades and he or she should make their own analysis.

ozzy
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 3:52
Ashraf....

What's going on with the eur/usd. I been shorting it since 1.19 you said to sit back and relax it will go there shortly.Its been a month and a half.

It seems you keep changing your mind......

I think Ross shares the same thoughts....

You said the same with the aus/usd shorted since 80 you said it would go to 78-79 and beyond then it went to 88

Again you screw me in gold back in early march when you said it would go down to 1059 waited to long on that and lost ,then you changed you mind and said it would go to 1300 have not seen that yet either........

I think catnip should have your job because looks like catnip is in the money and not from listening to you.
It seems like if I done the opposite of what you say i would be rich by now......

I want some answers Ashraf pleasssssssssssseeee

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 2, 2010 22:55
So, is 1.17-16 still Ashraf's long-term target, or has the game changed?

macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Jul 2, 2010 22:02
One thing that may have gone unnoticed today but 3mo LIBOR ticked up for the first time in a few days, which is a bit odd if the liquidity concerns have been taken off the board.
ross
Hawaii, United States
Posts: 37
14 years ago
Jul 2, 2010 19:59
Well done catnip! You were calling for 127 when Ashraf was still calling for 116! Now it seems Ashraf is following you by calling for 1.2660. I wonder if he knows you are out! :-)
The government intervention by the Swiss and Japanese really helped your cause - do have the inside track? Is the USD$ now the whipping boy? I hope you will keep us informed on your next move....Congratulations on your good trade.