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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
I am short on Eur/Usd at 1.2280. I remember Ashraf saying this is in a long term downtrend and these pullbacks are nothing but noise. This may go higher, but at the moment its looking down. Normally the experience peeps on this forum are in tune with one another, but there seems to be disagreement in the camp with the Eur/Usd - Thats what confused me. Thankyou DJ
Also I went short 1.4917 on Gbp/Usd
short eurusd, I dont know why lot of guys in this forum are excpecting a big rebound... sell all rallies..
Xaron you have a big euro exposure :
lg euraud= lg eurusd+sh audusd.
+ your lg eurusd
+ lg eurchf = lg eurusd+ lg usdchf
be cautious with lots size with each of your trades
German policy could destroy European project, cant rule out euro collapse
If Germany doesnt change policy, its exit from currency union would help rest of Europe
Germany dragging their neighbours into deflation, could mean protracted stagnation
Deflation, stagnation lead to nationalism, social unrest
Germany is isolated, should allow wages to rise to help other EU states
German policy could destroy European project, cant rule out euro collapse
Fortunately he's only half as mad as he sounds.............
Xaron thats right EurChf is nice little hedger against euro, incase of euro's prolong weakness buy EURCHF and sell it in case if its to get weak over near term.
it was just below 140 when SNB somewhat indicated they would not intervene and look where it is now.
10 mins we have Icelandic Rate decision most likely to see 50bp cut from 8.5% interest rate it might play in Euro's favour but over all Euro to me another disappointing day and its going down. We might have to stay afloat to GBP's 150 test, if pound is to sell, then enter near 15050. good luck!
I'm long EUR/CHF as well (1.36) with a target of 1.45 and long EUR/USD at 1.2280 with a target of 1.2650.
frankly I missed EURAUD long but entered EURCAD long set trailing stop 10% ...am still abit leery on this trade
Any thoughts on playing Eur/Usd today - i'm alittle confused on direction --- cheers