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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 1558
Forum Topic:

JPY

Discuss JPY
 
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Aug 1, 2011 18:58
THINK TWICE before you read that NIKKEI report

This analysis from MNI FX Bullets:


A further careful reading of the Nikkei story on Japan readying for intervention raises a couple of noteworthy points;

1) Report is not sourced, does not suggest that officials are dropping hints;
2) discusses what steps BOJ may take, further easing measures-- exchange rate is purview of MOF who directs BOJ to act on FX, no discussion of whether MOF is readying for intervention.

Report stops far short of signaling intervention is imminent and reminds that recent yen gains have been a function of dollar slippage related to the debt crisis in the US. Nikkei says US is expected to look the other way on any yen intervention, and reminds that BOJ intervened heavily last September in a single-handed action to slow yen gains, adds that any intervention could also be accompanied by additional easing measures. Noteworthy, it says that such additional easing measures could be considered at the 2-day BOJ board meeting that begins Thursday; a backhanded hint at timing?


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Ashraf
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Aug 1, 2011 18:47
Nikkei reports that US open to Japan currency intervention
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Aug 1, 2011 18:15
Nikkei reports that BOJ may take policy steps at thursday friday mtng, coordinated intervention may follow.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Aug 1, 2011 17:44
Readers of Futures Magazine may have caught Ashraf's article about USDJPY on the July issue (initially written on June 18, 2011), making the technical and fundamental case for a lower USDJPY, basing it on cyclical trends in the pair. Due to copyright issues, we were unable to publish the article before the end of July. Nonetheless, premium subscribers to the Intermarket Insights were told of the ongoing short trades in USDJPY from 80 in mid June towards the mid 70s. The 760-word article, written on June 18, ends with the following So far, the outlook suggests the opposite and a return toward 78-75 is the more plausible scenario for the third quarter and remainder of 2011.

Premium subscribers can get direct access here:http://www.ashraflaidi.com/ products/sub01/access/?a=466

Non-subscribers can become members here:http://www.ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/

Ashraf
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 1, 2011 2:14
did not Subz.. nice squeeze of longs early asia.. will it range or not is the question now..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Jul 30, 2011 1:31
perhaps only to 76.40-60 projection or to 76.00-25 earlier year lows max being also the base of the multi-week bear channel.. no weely chart here to show:-(
subway90
Posts: 1078
13 years ago
Jul 29, 2011 23:59
could see drop to 75.80 asian session monday....
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Jul 29, 2011 3:48
in range for a while?..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Jul 27, 2011 13:15
perhaps nothing more then some protective buying?..

"..Topside offers remain at Y78.00/10 and Y78.20/25. Barrier interest of note on the
downside remains at Y77.50.."
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Jul 27, 2011 13:10
good trade AL.. this one not too bad either:-)