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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 1558
Forum Topic:

JPY

Discuss JPY
 
givemethebill
Japan
Posts: 316
13 years ago
Sep 6, 2011 9:41
come on BOJ .. show some balls like SNB .. set USDJPY to 90 minimums ... lol. Gonna load some more longs
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Sep 5, 2011 11:27
it's like watching paint dry.. but might resolve soooon..
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 12:12
there is always rational explanation for irrational behaviour. Nought stranger than folk.
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 12:07
"..mkts are largely irrational through ignorance 90% of the time.."

Dave.. i think this might be actually called "fat tail".. and there is actually quite rational explanation for its occurrence..
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 11:52
correction, legitimate trade set ups to the short side (not the long side)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 11:47
"And Strength of yen does not reflect Japan and it should not be".

@giveme, same apllies to chf but perceived safe haven currencies have an ongoing problem with this which has proved impossible for their CB's to curtail. Intervention has only momentary effect and its very difficult to predict exact timing of any intervention. The answer really is to avoid these pairs or only take legitimate trade set-ups on smaller timeframes to the long side.

Japan debt is like a "bug in search of a windshield" (John Mauldin) with their economy often quoted as 2 lost decades. They have the advantage of sovereign bond sales almost entirely internal which permits very low cost of debt servicing. However the older generation of savers investing in bonds is fast dieing out and struggling to live without cashing their investments. Once this internal resource can no longer finance ever increasing sovereign debt the cost of serving that debt will start to increase. Just 1% increase in debt servicing costs will create mayhem----let alone 2,3% !

There are many things in the markets that "should not be" but I have always found it surprising how long a condition can prevail. Mkts are largely irrational through ignorance 90% of the time.
givemethebill
Japan
Posts: 316
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 4:33
i am not a big player. The article simply says: intervention is still on the deck. Long Japan at risk. I am losing out on ideally 50 pips (rangebound on Yen) but who knows when Intervention comes warranting K.O. Altho my approach is really as a result of my own missed opportunities. I don't want to miss it again. I will keep selling yen if it goes to 74. And Strength of yen does not reflect Japan and it should not be.
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 3:14
plays in very narrow range..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Sep 2, 2011 1:26
what money?.. where is it all gone?:-)

"..The page you have requested is unfortunately not available.."..
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
Sep 1, 2011 22:05
Yo givemethebill...how bout you show me da money