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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3119
Forum Topic:

Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)

Discuss Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
 
jcd5816
United States
Posts: 10
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:41
Qingyu, what is your current method of trading?
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:36
IRON SHARPENS IRON

:)
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:36
@dave i dumped that stock cos.un yesteday at break even..but its nice to see the long term support 24.50 held so i;ll play it at that level an get out above 25 buk level..but i deffin think it will get hammered if oil heads back to 80buk level..waiting for the fed to throw a curve ball..one thing i noticed no1 talkn about when ben was on 60min was he mentioned that fed could raise rates in 15min..every1 focused only on qe3-4..yadada..be interesting if he raised it alil today:)i know wishful thinkn lol
jcd5816
United States
Posts: 10
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:33
DaveO, no worry man, I do not take offense to anyone on this forum. I enjoy the discussion and the d/f views other traders bring. IRON SHARPENS IRON. Your trader friend is very skilled indeed. He obviously has a PROVABLE edge with a robust system of money management. If traders of any type can identify a PROVABLE edge, it does not matter how they trade or on what timeframe, most however do not know their edge. Believe me, I learned, through many losses and a mentor, how to develop my edge to the best of my ability and I try to build on that everyday. I love trying to help novice traders b/c I believe they need sound advice(I know I did) instead of most of the dribble that is out there now.

chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:32
thats crazy try to scalp for 5pips- 20pips not bad but i concider scalping 30-60pips..but trading styles for me depend on fund data that comes out which dictates how long im in for the trade..like this morning i added more audusd shorts @1.00122 plus took a small usdcad position1.0059 all paying me nicely but im gonna hold these position as 40pips is nice but i think there worth way more..gl dave &forum:)
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:25
daveo, could you give me more details of your forex trader colleague? i am really intrersting in how.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 14:16
JCD, I agree with everything you say and please dont take any offence at my entering the discussion, I know I am a titch opinionated. I have always disliked scalping but sometimes my entries will morph into a scalp if mkt doesnt quickly go my way. I had a forex trader colleague this year demonstrate to me how he makes c.$1000 almost every morning starting with mid asian session through 10.00 GMT. He is a scalper taking typically 5 to to 20 pip trades playing typically 2 or 3 lot positions. He is very skilled at his particular methodology. I agree that 98% traders are consistently losing money but he is in the 2% elite bracket.

Right, I try to respect all timeframes. That guy leaves his screens at 10.00 GMT and has fun leaving me in my screens approx 15 hrs/day. He is happy with c.$5K per week. I trade a variety of instruments in timeframes ranging from a few hrs to many months. Longest gold trade was rolled over for 11 months. I love charting and analysis. I am happy to spend 5 days in screens and 2 days at play. Inbetween the two of us particular traders there are many different scenarios for different traders. All timeframes are potentially profitable and all are potentially disastrous.

Another thing I have noticed with forex traders is they start off by wanting all their data feeds etc for free. Everything has to be for free. Thats perhaps not a bad thing until they can prove survival with risk control and money management. Prove that they might be somewhere close to having an edge before lashing out on the right tools for the job. Decent software and exchange fees, decent rig etc all mount up so it makes sense for novice traders to get by on the cheap until they can see their "edge" or decide to quit before too much damage is done.

jcd5816
United States
Posts: 10
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 13:44
Catnip, that is very interesting. I must admit, the stuff in your first sentence is over my head. Since there is no way to measure volume on FX, I use futures volume. It does differ than FX volume, but I also read bulge bracket reports from banks, that says how much volume flowed through their desks(though this is not real time). So how do you determine(based on your first sentence) which pairs to trade and how to execute?
said
France
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 13:41
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-c9z1TGkmw

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 14, 2010 13:28
jcd5816
yes I ( try to ) trade market structure but to me structure is a mathematical object describing a topological space together with dimensionality.
This theory is perfect as indeed all fx pairs are mutually dependend thus we have indeed the case of structure as used in systems theory. Basically it says the totality of fx is computable iff no CB pours in central bank fiat money as intervention.
A practical demonstration of the correctness is that the individual relative strenghts of currencies - relative to all other- should move in periodical manner. If so one could completely automatize position trading.
However with available data one doesn't get volume real time thus it won't work for swingtrades.