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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:
Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
2134 GMT [Dow Jones] Few technical levels are standing in AUD's way,
especially after another gain overnight, say strategists at NAB. With GBP and
EUR weighed down once again overnight by sovereign debt concerns, AUD/GBP hit a
fresh 25-year high just above 0.6100, while AUD/EUR rose to a new decade high
of 0.6730. Against USD, NAB strategists say their model's "fair value" estimate
is currently around 0.9450, making AUD/USD cross "the 'cheapest' in over a
year." AUD/USD recently at 0.9138. (geoffrey.rogow@dowjones.com)
The RBA and PPT are separated at birth.
One must have equities at a recovery high at least every other day. The other must have AUD close at the high of the day each and every day.
The RBA buys the same gold the Chinese won't even think about paying for at these prices.
What a National Pastime!!! A little odd though. The past two days I've read WEATHERMAN and HOMER anlysts reports on the AUD actually stating AUD would struggle here and pull back. What was the RBA's response? Those analysts have been terminated, and the RBA sold even more and more non-AUD currencies in the open FX market to prop their beloved National Pastime AUD higher and higher.
Games over soon though. After the RBA is forced to pay their premiums at 5 pm NYT, AUD headed immediately to 0.9020, where it was before the PPT entered in the U.S. equity markets.
The only question will be: what will the RBA's response be?
The problem is, the masses got wiped out a year ago and have not bought this rally. This is nothing but a PPT generated rouse devised to get Mr. and Mrs. Jones to put their hard earned cash back into the markets and the market makers (Goldman) pockets.
You saw today when the PPT stepped out to lunch, the market dropped 60 points in no time. AUD dropped 22 points and put the RBA scurrying like rats to protect the value of Australia's National Pastime. What happened? Stevens found out where the PPT was eating lunch, made the call, and begged the PPT to goose the spoos and gold, guaranteeing all players who were doing the goosing against loss, in a frantic effort to prop AUD back to the highs of the day, even after the RBA engaged in a four-hour buy program on AUD, and to get U.S. equities back in black.
There is tremendous fear in the states that if equities have consecutive down days, the PPT will lose control of the mindless rally they have been orchestrating the past month.
Hence, idiots rush back into risk like fools, and buy trash euro and GBPUSD, and gorge themselves on overpriced and overstuffed items like gold and AUD.
The writing is on the wall though.
These yield whores and momentum geeks who hop on the bandwaggon to buy AUD beacuse of its yield will learn another hard lesson: 4% yield doesn't necessarily protect from 25/30% losses.
The yield whore momentum players pouring into AUD simply because it is going up are going to get hurt, and badly. The risk carry trade is filled with cowards who flee at the first sign of trouble.
DOW will be below 10000 by end of next week. Another pathetic PPT sighting today, desperate to keep market in black and avoid two consecutive down days. But this mindless PPT-led rally is nearing conclusion.
As with AUD, last one out please turn off the lights and don't let the door hit you in the fanny.