Forum
Posts by "ptaczek"
120 Posts Total by "ptaczek":
10
Posts by Anonymous "ptaczek":
I agree on the fact that EU banks are in worse shape than the US in terms of capital. Back in Q4 2008 we was discussing that issue and thought the problem will be visible sooner than it really was. Im not much of a doom&gloom person, but there are even FaceBook activities that call people to go run o their banks ;)
ashraf:
tnx for early warning!
I'm not so much concerned about USA at his point. I'm trying to figure out what are the implications for the PIIGS and their bonds. In other words, what are the medium-term implication for EURUSD?
Does it mean, that to have more bailout money is positive for the EuroZone because the probability of bailout money shortage is lower? Or does it mean that the Germany will be less reluctant to help if there is the option to get money from IMF if a more help is needed for example in case of Portugal or Spain headwinds? Still not so clear.
-------------8<--------------
NEW YORK, Dec 1 (IFR) - Reuters News revealed that the US Administration will back an increase in the IMF standby facility for the European states that they back-stopped last May when the Euro debt crisis was on the verge of a meltdown. According to the article a U.S. official was quoted "There are obviously some severe market problems. In May, it was Greece. This is Ireland and Portugal. If there is contagion that's a huge problem for the global economy."
Earlier in the day we heard that a US Treasury envoy is en-route to Europe for talks. Now the government is suggesting that the US would support an increase in the IMF's portion of the E250bn EFSF "It is up to the Europeans. We will certainly support using the IMF in these circumstances." EUR/USD soared 120 pips on the story but has ebbed into a 1.3135/55 sideways chop.
-------------8<--------------
So... how much will this change the fundamental landscape. Looking at the market reaction, it could be a game changer.