Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 901
Forum Topic:

CHF

Discuss CHF
 
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 30, 2011 1:47
u v good with numbers Subz:-)

"..for Eur/CHF... could see continuation to the upside to test the next resistance level around 1.2100/2150 as long as 1.1750/70 level holds.... "
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 30, 2011 1:08
helmut.. here is a possible gap-fill short idea.. but it could be much earlier if this last little channel break proves false.. let's say close below 1.1800..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 30, 2011 0:44
silver 45 target still not hit and moving in good daily trend channel.. wouldn't short it that big..
Helmut
Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Aug 29, 2011 21:30
FXHandler, the last few Rappen CHF down I leave up to others, CH got done what they need for their economy. Now I watch out for a EUR/CHF short opportunity. There is still an open gap at 1.1084 and often a low/high gets tested a second time. A temporary stronger CHF will come thats for sure, I will watch out for cat's comments, he understands the market interaction pretty good.

PS: I am short on Silver today, my stop is 45 (end of day), target below 30
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
13 years ago
Aug 29, 2011 16:02
What's next for EUR/CHF? 1.25-1.30???
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 29, 2011 11:09
yes Marine pays high dividend in NOK. It is clearly a fixed income investment. ( if the dividend remains that high at the stock price that low its 15% return) . While Marine's fish quality is at the lower end, Yara's is very good. Yara is imo a clear buy now. Another investment in food is besides fertilizers , biological research. Because a environmental catastrophe looms with genetically modified seeds. It's still swept under the rug by Monsanto but fact is the yields from modified crops are falling for years.
Helmut
Hannover, Germany
Posts: 24
13 years ago
Aug 29, 2011 10:08
FXHandler, there are multiple reasons why to buy/hold MH, at present the salmon future is pretty down (seehttp://fishpool.eu), this is why MH stock is down, it offers a good entry now. They address the oversupply, if needed by producing a little bit less. The demand for the foot sector will not disappear while the debt crisis continues. An investment in a NOK based companies is also good to diversify your investments. MH is a a very strong dividend payer. The Fukushima radioactive contamination is more worse then communicated, it means that Japan must import way more fish in the long run.

BTW: I own NOK stocks of MH and Yara, for both companies I believe I can hold it for decades, better an Euro in a savings account.

You are from Norway, you should know all this!
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
13 years ago
Aug 29, 2011 2:08
Catnip, if you still beleive in worse more decline in the stock market, why do you keep the Marine Harvest Stocks? They have declined from 7 NOK in May to around 3 NOK now...
According to the gragh they used to be worth around 8.000 NOK in year 2000......
http://www.hegnar.no/tickersok/?ticker=mhg

BTW.... fundamentally I also beleive in food-stocks...... so it might be a good pick, but I am curious.
Helmut
Hannover, Germany
Posts: 24
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 19:43
@cat, thanks for the info.
BTW: As you know I own some Marine Harvest stocks, I increased my position significantly in believing that this business will survive whatever comes.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 12:43
The big profits swiss private banks made is from mortgages and loans to eastern europe and russia. The swiss economy is politically important but not for banks. Of course the interest on these loans skyrocketed in other currencies , as the CHF got ever stronger, endangering defaults with desastrous effects on Euro, and for swiss banks. But the swiss banks cannot afford to be drained of capital when the deposits are called, because of possible tax. Thus I think it is a typical minimum maximum calculus. There is no safe haven in EUR neither in USD. Now the central bank of Russia offers loans, bonds, backed by physical gold. That is in theory, on maturity the bond holder can demand a return in physical gold. Do you think that even one oligarch gangster is stupid enough to buy such a bond? Wth money from swiss banks, or fresh from the money laundry? Certainly not. They will go back to CHF.