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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Mar 9, 2010 0:40
Comments: 200
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S&P500 / VIX Ratio & USD LIBOR

On the cycles of the S&P500 / VIX ratio and the stabilizing cost of USD 3-month LIBOR relative to its yen counterpart.
 
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Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 16, 2010 15:56
Indeed Ginger it would. ratio now at 65.9, which is above that 65 resistance. That chart showed we had a triple around 65 before falling down 38%


Ashraf
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 16, 2010 15:37
The S&P/VIX ratio is now above 65 again. The bulls say we'll have S&P above 1200 and bears say 1120. We'll soon find out. For 1200 to happen the ratio will probably break to 75-85 region - too high based on the charts...
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 15, 2010 20:35
Ashraf, yes, I've been keeping a very close eye on the ratio today - it was in the range: 61-64.

The market continues to defy logic and is overbought (even Cramer on CNBC, a perpetual bull, says so!) but it just doesn't want to go lower - tomorrow could be interesting but I doubt any change will happen in the tone of the FOMC. Nonetheless there may well be some profit taking tomorrow and news from China on rates could start the ball rolling for a much needed pullback.

Ginger
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 15, 2010 20:18
SPX closed @ 1150 but VIX closed higher than Friday therefore SPX/VIX ratio @ 63.8 lower than fridays..
http://bit.ly/a9qeIX

Ashraf
said
amman, Jordan
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 15, 2010 18:55
mr ashraf i like your meetin every time with cnbc , but sometimes i don,t understand some words in arabic , i woul,d like to know about your nationality and your university . thank you mr ashraf .
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 12, 2010 21:45
Ginger, yes S&P/VIX ratio went back up to 65 but as you saw from the 1st chart and today's, the January high consisted of 3 short upticks before it fell by 35%. so we could well see reccurring testing of 65 before the pullback. Could it be on FOMC Tuesday ?

Ashraf
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 12, 2010 21:30
Ashraf, the S&P/Vix ratio closed today at 65.2, with the S&P closing at 1149.99 (this number feels to me as if it is manipulated some how!!), anyway although the market feels it's about to go lower it just hovers around 1150 with a bias towards going higher (Dow went higher today). What is your hunch for whether S&P goes higher next week? It feels like a double top to me but this market always seems to surprise.

Also, do you still fell that euro/dollar will fall to 1.32 by end of March or is it going to rally to over 1.40?

Look forward to your views.
G
Eelman
Maine, United States
Posts: 93
15 years ago
Mar 12, 2010 21:21
CNBC is showing that the S&P closed at 1149.99. Now thats cutting it close!
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 12, 2010 21:10
@ pippedoff..my cmc screan is showing s&p slightly over 1151...i see ashraf sayn it failed...???is it possible its trying to close above..??thanks gl
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Mar 12, 2010 17:25
heres the LATEST on this chart:
http://bit.ly/c7fXkr DoubleTop In Place


Sub, we need to CLOSE the day above 1150 for bullishness to extend


Ashraf
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